OK now it’s time to sort through this 4A girls state tournament.
The first thing you should know is that I really detest forecasting high-school games. It’s never about picking against a particular team. Obviously, someone has to win and someone has to lose, but some coaches/players/fans seem to take it personally. Not meant that way, believe me.
Secondly, very little surprises me in high-school sports
Of tomorrow’s eight first-round girls games, I’d say only two or three would qualify as a major upset if the lower-ranked team won. I really don’t see South Kitsap beating Moses Lake; Mount Tahoma looks to be in tough against Pasco; and Kamiak could be out-matched by Kentwood, with or without Lindsey Moore (more on that situation in a minute).
I have my favorites in the others, as you’ll see below, but I won’t be raising my eyebrows much if I’m wrong.
So, here goes:
Quarterfinals: Moses Lake over Auburn Riverside, Snohomish over Garfield, Kentwood over Pasco, Lewis and Clark over Issaquah.
Semifinals: Snohomish over Moses Lake. Kentwood over Lewis and Clark.
Finals: Kentwood 55, Snohomish 52
I would feel much stronger about that championship pick of Moore was 100%. We likely won’t know until tomorrow if that hamstring injury is bad enough to keep her on the bench. But even a little Lindsey Moore is better than a lot of some other players, and even if she doesn’t play I think Kentwood could win this thing with the all-around talent them have.
There is not one team that seems to stand clearly above the others (I think Kentwood did before Moore’s injury). That said, the Conquerors just might lose to Pasco in the quarterfinals, or perhaps stumble right out of the gate.
Pasco is unbeaten, but untested outside of the Big Nine. That concerns coach Steve Davis, so it concerns me as well. I have heard, though, that the Bulldogs are really good. Don’t count out Lewis and Clark, the three-time defending champs. The Tigers know how to win here.
I’ve liked Snohomish all year and everyone raves about Katie Benson. Moses Lake, last year’s runner-up, has the best duo in the state in Carly Noyes and Jordan Loera and would love a fifth shot at Pasco. Auburn Riverside, coming off two straight 3A titles, can’t be overlooked and seems to have better chemistry now than a month ago. They’ve certainly got the talent.
And how great would it be to see one of those KingCo Crest Division teams in the final, or two??? Improbable, in my mind, but certainly not impossible.
It’s high-school basketball and I think just about anything goes with the girls this week.