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The latest news and analysis on high-school sports around the Seattle area

May 18, 2009 at 10:49 PM

State boys soccer analysis and predictions (4A and 3A)

Class 4A initial thoughts: A fairly evenly-spaced draw according to my rankings. Only two games match up a couple ranked teams in the first round: No. 3 Marysville-Pilchuck v. No. 9 Gig Harbor and also No. 4 Bellarmine Prep v. No. 10 Woodinville.

Projecting to the deeper rounds, the bottom half looks to have all the favorites (No. 1 Pasco, No. 2 Stadium and No. 4 B. Prep). I fully expect the winner to come from that group.

I’m a little disappointed to see a potential No. 2 Stadium v. No. 4 Bellarmine Prep quarterfinal. I would’ve liked to see them in the semis at the earliest.

My sleeper team is Snohomish, call it in a hunch. I have only seen six teams in the field, but I have covered the last couple state tournaments for boys soccer and I like the combination of players that coach Dan Pingrey has in the Panthers.

First round predictions:

Rogers beats Issaquah 4-2

Marysville-Pilchuck beats Gig Harbor 2-1

South Kitsap beats Roosevelt 3-1

Snohomish beats Central Kitsap 3-2

Stadium beats Skyview 2-0

Bellarmine Prep beats Woodinville 1-0

Mead beats Kamiak 2-1

Pasco beats Lewis and Clark 2-0

Quarterfinal predictions:

Rogers beats M-P 2-1

Snohomish beats South Kitsap 1-0

Stadium beats Bellarmine Prep 3-2

Pasco beats Mead 2-0

Semifinal predictions:

Snohomish beat Rogers 2-1

Pasco beats Stadium 1-0

Championship pick:

Pasco beats Snohomish 3-1

Check out the 3A side after the jump…

* * *

Class 3A initial thoughts: Dang that top half looks tough with No. 1 Mercer Island, No. 2 Shorecrest and No. 3 Mount Rainier. The Islanders having to serve as the district’s No. 2 seed makes things interesting. Former No. 1 Lakeside could crash the party also.
The four Metro teams got matched up with some difficult teams. I wouldn’t be shocked to see one or none make it to the quarterfinals.
Some very nice quarterfinal match-ups could potentially play out in No. 1 Mercer Island v. No. 3 Mount Rainier and also No. 4 Camas v. No. 5 West Valley (Yakima).
My personal bias favors 3A teams that compete and win regularly against 4A schools — which gives a big advantage to Shorecrest (unbeaten since the return of Michael Harris) and West Valley for my money.
*Remember West Valley already won its first round game 4-2 against Sunnyside.
First round predictions:
Mercer Island beats Auburn Mountainview 2-0
Mount Rainier beats Lakeside 1-0
Columbia River beat Nathan Hale 2-1
Shorecrest beats Evergreen 3-0
Mount Vernon beats Franklin Pierce 2-1
North Kitsap beats Seattle Prep 1-0
Camas beats Bainbridge 2-0
Quarterfinal predictions:
Mercer Island beats Mount Rainier 2-1
Shorecrest beats Columbia River 2-0
Mount Vernon beats North Kitsap 3-1
West Valley beats Camas 1-0
Semifinal predictions:
Shorecrest beats Mercer Island 3-2
West Valley beats Mount Vernon 2-0
Championship prediction:
Shorecrest beats West Valley 2-1



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