The baseball state tournament is as unpredictable as a state tournament can get. Baseball can be a cruel game, one in which the most talented teams often do not win. A 100-win team in the majors still lost more than 35 percent of the time. And in the high-school state tournaments, we have seen undefeated teams lose in the first round and .500 teams win the championship.
So perhaps this is a futile effort. But I’ll make it anyway, and please realize this is all in good fun. There are two things I look for in a playoff team: a pitching staff deeper than one ace, and a lineup with few enough holes that it won’t likely go cold. With that said, here is how I see the 4A and 3A tournaments unfolding (and feel free to post your own predictions in the comments; we can compare brackets when it’s over):
Kentwood over Newport
Snohomish over Olympia
Predicted regional champ: Snohomish.
University over Kamiakin
Richland over Kamiak
Predicted regional champ: Richland
Puyallup over Inglemoor
Lake Washington over Central Kitsap
Predicted regional champ: Lake Washington
Issaquah over South Kitsap
Tahoma over Marysville-Pilchuck
Predicted regional champ: Tahoma
Richland over Snohomish
Tahoma over Lake Washington
Predicted 4A champ: Richland.
Mt. Vernon regional
O’Dea over North Kitsap
Shorecrest over Franklin Pierce
Predicted regional champ: O’Dea
Mt. Rainier over Hanford
West Valley over Lynnwood
Predicted regional champ: West Valley
Bainbridge over Columbia River
Bellevue over Highline
Predicted regional champ: Bellevue
Bishop Blanchet over Auburn Mountainview
Timberline over Liberty
Predicted regional champ: Bishop Blanchet
O’Dea over West Valley
Bishop Blanchet over Bellevue
Predicted 3A champ: Bishop Blanchet.
So there it is. Most likely, all of it will crumble by 1 p.m. Saturday, when the first of the opening-round games are finished. The Times will be at most of the regionals this weekend, and I’ll be going down to Centralia for the 3A regional that features The Times’ three top-ranked teams: No. 1 Timberline, No. 2 Bishop Blanchet and No. 3 Liberty. Make sure to follow our Twitter feed for baseball and soccer updates Saturday.
Also, don’t forget about Archbishop Murphy and Cedarcrest in the 2A bracket (playing in Bellingham), and Bellevue Christian is in the 1A field (playing at Castle Rock).