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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

September 15, 2006 at 4:24 PM

The pick — UW

Here’s my pick for tomorrow’s game, and you’re going to hope I’m as correct as I was a week ago in terms of the final spread.
Last week, I picked Oklahoma 31-14. Final score was 37-20, exactly hitting my 17-point spread.
For tomorrow, I’m being kinder to the local 11, picking the Huskies in a minor upset, 27-21.
I think this is another potentially good matchup for the UW defense. Fresno State likes to pound the ball inside and pound it some more, and while the Bulldogs are sure to have some success, I think Washington — buoyed by the home crowd — will be able to defend it well enough to stay in the game. One of the bright spots of last week was UW’s play up front. It was only when Adrian Peterson got outside that he really hurt the Huskies, and Dwayne Wright isn’t the same type of runner.
OU hurt the Huskies with the pass and FSU has the ability to do that with two solid receivers, including Paul Williams — Curtis Williams’ younger brother. But FSU’s passing game has been spotty so far as the Bulldogs haven’t completed a pass longer than 23 yards so far. Obviously, the Huskies are struggling mightly in the secondary and FSU will probably try to attack there more than in its first two games. But here’s to thinking that UW secondary coach J.D. Williams — a former player and assistant coach at FSU — will be able to figure something out there.
Offensively, if the Huskies can run for 200 yards at Oklahoma, they ought to be able to do it at home against Fresno State. If so, that will again open up some passing and running lanes for Isaiah Stanback, and the hunch here is that he will play better than he did in Oklahoma.
If not, Carl Bonnell could get his shot and then we’ll have a whole lot more to talk about come next week.
Special teams will also loom critical. FSU has a history as a good special teams program, but basically lost to Oregon because of two field goal plays — Oregon’s fake that turned into a touchdown, and a block of an Oregon FG that FSU misplayed to give the Ducks another chance to score.
UW also was somewhat sloppy last week, allowing one long punt return that led to an OU touchdown and a blocked punt that led to a field goal.

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