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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

September 20, 2007 at 11:08 AM

Week four picks

Another 8-2 week left me 23-4 — and probably most of you as well, I would suspect, given the relative lack of upsets in the Pac-10 last week and a lot of creampuff games.
Now it gets hard, however, as we get solidly into what figures to be a pretty unpredictable conference season (other than the top, of course):
ARIZONA AT CAL: Actually, this one seems pretty easy. The Wildcats are reeling and Mike Stoops’ seat is getting hotter and hotter (maybe that’s why his face always seems so red on the sidelines — or maybe it’s just watching his offense). Worse, Arizona figures not to have any chance to catch Cal looking unawares after the way the Wildcats beat the Bears in Tucson last year. Arizona’s pass defense is surprisingly bad, so the Bears should be able to score at will, something Arizona can’t do. Cal 41, Arizona 17.
WASHINGTON STATE AT USC: Okay, so another pretty easy one. Looks like WSU’s offense is even better than advertised, which might bode well for the Cougars down the line. And the matchup of WSU’s passing game against a USC secondary that has been the Trojans’ only apparent weakness so far (at least statistically) means the Cougars may move the ball at times. Bill Doba says he will simplify the WSU defense this week, hoping to let his players play a little more freely. But nothing figures to do much good this week. USC 38, WSU 16.
OREGON AT STANFORD: Two teams that may be a lot better than we thought. I don’t think you can discount what Oregon did against Michigan merely by saying the Wolverines aren’t as good this year as they’ve been in the past. Oregon’s offensive numbers are really pretty staggering — 46.3 points and 519 yards per game. Dennis Dixon is playing like the All-Pac-10 QB (and like UW fans have to hope Jake Locker becomes pretty soon). Stanford, though, is showing lots of signs of life under Jim Harbaugh and I don’t think any game in Palo Alto will be easy this season. But Oregon just has too much firepower. Oregon 41, Stanford 21.
OREGON STATE AT ARIZONA STATE: Oregon State hasn’t won at ASU since 1969, which despite OSU’s sordid history for much of that span is still pretty amazing. Heck, OSU has won five times at Husky Stadium in that same span (four since the formation of the Pac-10). So if the odds mean anything, you’d think OSU is due. On the other hand, ASU simply seems to be a little better, and is playing at home, and has the revenge factor after taking a 44-10 beating in Corvallis last season. Just not sure yet OSU’s QBs are good enough to win a road game like this. Other than that, the key battle is whether an OSU run defense that is allowing just 27.7 yards and 0.9 yards per attempt can stop an ASU ground attack averaging 218 yards per game. Something has to give. Says here it will be the Beavers. ASU 31, OSU 21.
As always, I’ll have the pick on the UW game on Friday.

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