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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 17, 2007 at 9:07 PM

More on second halves

Malibu’s post about the first half of the ASU game got me thinking, so I decided to do some research on how much statistical difference there has been in the two halves of the last four Husky games.
What I found isn’t necessarily encouraging and actually reinforces the response I got from one person when discussing UW’s second-half problems.
“Maybe all those teams were just better,” he said.
His point was, maybe the longer the game went on, the more likely it was that the cream would eventually rise to the top, to use that time-worn cliche.
The stats indicate that may be what’s going on.
While UW has stayed close on the scoreboard of the first half its last four games, it has generally been statistically dominated.
In those four games, UW has been outgained a combined 966-649 in the first half, an average of 242-162.
The one exception was the first one against Ohio State, when UW outgained the Buckeyes 204-177 in the first half.
But in the other three games of this four-game losing streak, UW was outgained a combined 789-445 in the first half, an average of 263-148 despite having outscored those three teams a combined 41-40 at halftime.
Consider further that those four teams have outgained UW an average of 258-128 in the second half, really not a huge difference from the 242-162 of the first half noted a few paragraphs above.
And this isn’t a case of just one big game skewing the stats. UCLA outgained UW 283-132 in the first half, USC 268-124 and ASU 238-189.
Another interesting number is this — since the first half of the Ohio State game, UW has been outgained 1824-960, not quite a 2-1 ratio but pretty close.
So maybe it’s not adjustments as much as the percentages finally taking over.

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