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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

November 15, 2007 at 1:26 PM

Pac-10 picks

A short, and early, week for the Pac-10, with the best game of the weekend tonight on ESPN at 6 p.m. with Arizona hosting Oregon.
So here goes.
OREGON AT ARIZONA: This has become quite the rivalry, from what I’ve read this week, with Arizona still remembering Oregon scoring 63 there in 2001, and the Ducks remembering Arizona inflicting a career-ending injury on Kellen Clemens in 2005. And then there’s Arizona’s shocking 37-10 win at Autzen last season. (Some good details on all of that here). So I think any chance that Oregon somehow overlooks the Wildcats is out the window, though considering the stakes the Ducks have in the game, I wouldn’t think they’d overlook anyone at this point. If Arizona has a chance, it’s taking advantage of Oregon’s lax pass defense, which ranks ninth in the Pac-10, allowing 269.9 yards per game. On the other hand, the Ducks completely shut down WSU’s passing attack in a 53-7 win a month ago, so maybe that number speaks more to teams always having to come from behind against Oregon and throwing the ball. I wouldn’t think Arizona’s defense can stop Oregon’s spread option attack considering the trouble it had against Washington’s. But the home field should give Arizona some early momentum, and if the Wildcats can keep it close, it could stay interesting for a while. But I just don’t see an upset happening. OREGON 41, ARIZONA 27.
OREGON STATE AT WASHINGTON STATE: People keep saying Bill Doba’s job is on the line, but it seems to me like he’s done some really good things the last few weeks keeping the Cougs afloat. WSU looked dead in the water after that 53-7 loss at Oregon. But Doba and crew revamped the defense, going to a 3-4 to take advantage of quickly improving LB Andy Mattingly (who has eight sacks), and WSU has won two of three since then, allowing just 44 points to UCLA, Cal and Stanford. OSU, meanwhile, will again be without Sean Canfield and also without two of its top cornerbacks for the first half, giving WSU a chance to get some early momentum. A WSU win would keep the Cougs in the bowl hunt heading into the Apple Cup, and it’s the last home game for Alex Brink. And BTW, WSU is favored, so it’s not even an upset to call this one for the Cougs, who have beaten OSU nine of the last 10 times in Pullman. WSU 27, OSU 21.
SEASON RECORD: 49-15 (and not to go all Phil Steele on you, but I was perfect last week and just one point away from the margin in the UW game, two points on the WSU game and three points on the USC-Cal game. And I’m not even charging).
As always, the UW pick will come on Friday.

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