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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 9, 2008 at 9:06 PM

Pac-10 picks, week six

As I’m writing this one I’m watching an old OSU-UCLA game on FSN Classics and thinking there is no way any of the games this weekend wind up in that category a few years from now.
Washington State a 30-point underdog at Oregon State? ASU a 27-and-a-half point underdog at USC?
I haven’t seen this much disparity since Julia Roberts married Lyle Lovett.

When Arizona-Stanford is your marquee matchup for the weekend, you might want to rethink that whole “Conference of Champions” thing.
Anyway, we at least had a winning weekend last week, going a sparkling 5-0 straight-up and 3-2 against the spread for season records of 29-9 and 22-15.
On with this week’s picks, as always with lines from the trusty Seattle Times Daily Line.
WASHINGTON STATE AT OREGON STATE (Beavers by 30): Apparently the biggest line in OSU’s favor in any Pac-10 game ever. Weird thing is, it seems just about right. If Jacquizz Rodgers can rush for 180-plus on USC, what’s he going to do against a WSU defense allowing 240.8 per game and 6.4 per carry? Could be uglier than a fraternity bathroom during rush week. Most suspense could be seeing if the Cougars can keep their 279-game scoring streak alive, which has twice this year escaped by a mere field goal. No reason to think this isn’t a rout. OSU 52, WSU 16.
ARIZONA AT STANFORD (Wildcats by six): UW’s last two conquerors meet in Palo Alto to help decide which one of the two is for real. Must-win game for both to attain respectability this season. Stanford’s a little more battle-tested this year and beat the Wildcats in Tucson a year ago. But UA seems to have one statistical advantage — a passing offense rated second in the conference in efficiency against a Stanford defense that is giving up more yards than any team in the conference (yep, including the Huskies and Cougs) at 273.8 per game. Arizona will turn a Stanford blitz or two into big plays that will turn the game its way. ARIZONA 31, STANFORD 20.
ARIZONA STATE AT USC (Trojans by 27-and-a-half): Who would have expected this line a month ago when the Sun Devils were touted as the biggest threat to USC’s dominance this season? How the unmighty have fallen. And now Rudy Carpenter probably can’t play, further diminishing ASU’s chances. But for some strange reason, I think ASU may keep this one a little closer than the spread, if only because USC seems to often follow a great game with a so-so outing. Not saying ASU will win — this figures to be the fourth straight defeat for ASU in what could be a six-game losing streak heading into its game at UW Nov. 8. USC 35, ASU 21.
UCLA AT OREGON (Ducks by 17-and-a-half): Apparently it’s a big story that some guy named Neuheisel will return to Autzen Stadium. Did something memorable happen last time he was there? And hey, Neuheisel still has a chance at the Northwest Championship this year, having already beaten WSU. Critical game for the Ducks, who can stay in the hunt for a significant bowl game with a win, but needing to recover from last week’s domination at USC. Some Oregon fans apparently upset enough that Ken Goe of the Oregonian felt compelled to write this defense of Mike Bellotti this week. But apparently there will be no in-season firing. On a serious note, this is a matchup of the most prolific offense in the Pac-10 (Oregon is averaging 482.8 yards per game) and the least (UCLA is at 286.4). No reason for dancing on the O by the visitors this time. OREGON 35, UCLA 10.

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