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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

November 14, 2008 at 11:32 AM

Pac-10 picks

Another week where I learned that it’s not necessarily the who, but the how much, that’s tough when it comes to picking college football games.
I was 5-0 straight-up but 2-3 against the spread, leaving me at 46-13 straight-up for the season but just 32-27 against the numbers.
On to this week’s picks, with spreads as always from The Seattle Times:
ARIZONA AT OREGON (Ducks by 3): Boy, this had better be a good game after all the complaining from Oregon about how this one ought to be on TV instead of UW-UCLA. Honestly, they’ve got a pretty good point. After Rick Neuheisel runs out of the tunnel, that’ll be about it for intrigue in Seattle. This has actually been a pretty interesting series the last few years with Arizona pulling big upsets each of the past two seasons, ruining Oregon’s national title hopes last year and winning 37-10 in Autzen in 2006. To me, Oregon is simply a better team overall, especially at home. So while Arizona will score some points, Oregon’s running game should again wear down another opponent. OREGON 37, ARIZONA 30.
WASHINGTON STATE AT ARIZONA STATE (Devils by 36-and-a-half): Heady talk from WSU cornerback Romeo Pellum who called this “a winnable game” for the Cougars. Was he talking about the spread? ASU has gotten a lot better the last two weeks, and frankly, take out the trick plays and the Devils might have beaten UW by 30 last Saturday. One caveat to this one — Dennis Erickson is likely to try as hard as possible not to run it up on former player Paul Wulff. ASU 45, WSU 10.
CAL AT OREGON STATE (Beavers by 3): The true game of the week in the conference as the Beavers — the Beavers!!!! — try to stay on track for the Rose Bowl. This has been a weird series the last few years with the road team winning the last five. In fact, Cal has won the last two in Corvallis 41-13 and 49-7. Both teams also have some QB injury issues, as well, and the team that gets the best performance out of that spot likely wins the game. OSU also had a weird streak of not being able to beat UCLA under Mike Riley it snapped last week, so we’ll side with the odds and figure the Beavers are due and will finally beat Cal at home, as well. OSU 27, CAL 21.
USC AT STANFORD (Trojans by 23-and-a-half): There will simply be no repeat of what a year ago was the biggest upset in Pac-10 history. USC has allowed just 13 points the last five games, and is starting to go down as one of the most dominant defenses in Pac-10 history, especially considering the era. (Brief aside — are we seeing the best and worst Pac-10 defenses, that being Washington State, in history in the same season)? Once USC gets to 10, this game will be over. USC 31, STANFORD 6.
As always, I’ll have the UW pick a little later.

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