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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 1, 2009 at 3:27 PM

Pac-10 picks, week five

Wow, I’d really better keep my day job after that disaster of a prediction week.
I went a Sexson-esque 0-5 against the spread (and just 2-3 straight up), and am now hitting just one-third of my picks for the season against the spread. Even that guy who put “Dewey Defeats Truman” on that headline years ago would be laughing at me.
Anyway, on to this week’s games, when the really big winner could be Oregon. While the Ducks seem almost certain to beat Washington State and get to 2-0 in conference play, one of either Cal or USC is going to get its second conference loss, and one of either Stanford or UCLA will get its first. With Cal already in the rearview mirror and USC due to visit Eugene in a few weeks (Oct. 31, to be exact) could the Ducks really go in four weeks from the nation’s leading soap opera to driver’s seat of the Pac-10?
On to the picks. …
WASHINGTON STATE AT OREGON (Ducks by 32.5): Cougars are going with true frosh Jeff Tuel, and a look at how he played Saturday against USC indicates WSU may truly have found its QB of the future. The present Saturday night in Eugene, however, could be rather ugly (maybe even as bad as whatever uniform combination the Ducks go with). Hard to figure how the Cougars will slow down an Oregon offense that seems to have found itself again. And worse, a really banged-up OL doesn’t figure to give Tuel much time. OREGON 45, WSU 10.
OREGON STATE AT ARIZONA STATE (Devils by 4.5): Starting to look like maybe the Beavers really are, for once, in a rebuilding year. And for all that the Beavers have done the last decade, one thing they haven’t figured out is how to win in Tempe — the Beavers haven’t won there since 1969. ASU’s emerging defense looks like it may soon be among the top three or so in the conference and good enough to keep that streak alive. ASU 28, OSU 20.
UCLA AT STANFORD (Cardinal by 5): After what we saw of Stanford last week it’s not hard to imagine the Cardinal winning eight games this season. This looks like the kind of get-over-the-hump game that stumped the Cardinal last year — such as a last-minute loss to the Bruins in Pasasdena. Cardinal will get revenge for that one, as a Kevin Craft-led Bruin offense won’t be able to keep up. STANFORD 24, UCLA 17.
USC AT CAL (Trojans by 5): What looked at once like the game of the year in the Pac-10 is now barely the game of the week. And scary thought for everyone left on their schedule — the Trojans are getting healthier again. This is an early-season gut check for the Bears and hard to believe they won’t play a lot better than last week. But here’s thinking USC’s defense and a healthy Matt Barkley prove enough to get the W. USC 23, CAL 16.
LAST WEEK — Straight up 2-3; against the spread 0-5.
FOR THE SEASON — Straight up 21-11; against the spread 9-18-2.
As always, the UW-Notre Dame will come later.

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