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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 8, 2009 at 3:52 PM

Pac-10 picks, week six

It’s not quite Brockman-like, but in my own way, I’m rebounding, shrugging off a poor start to the season for a Jimmy-the-Greek-esque 4-1 record last week, both straight up and against the spread.
I missed only the ASU-Oregon State game, mistakenly picking the Devils to perpetuate their 40-year win streak against the Beavers in Tempe.
But all the others were pretty much dead, solid perfect picks. And no 800 number to call — all for free.
This week, though, looms menacingly — four Pac-10 conference games, three with enough intrigue to fill a Stephen King novel. The other, the weekly Washington State beat down, where the only question is by how much.
On with the picks:
OREGON AT UCLA (Originally Ducks by six, now officially off): The game is off the boards due to Oregon’s muddy QB situation. But I would expect Nate Costa to get the start, and frankly, I have no idea what that will mean for the Ducks. But as I’ve noted on here before, the underrated part of Oregon’s team this year is its defense. That, too, has taken a hit this week with another injury to the secondary. But if there’s a Pac-10 team south of Pullman to face with questions on your defense it’s UCLA, which is proving that even Norm Chow needs some players. Defense and running game will be enough for the Ducks. OREGON 23, UCLA 13.
STANFORD AT OREGON STATE (Pick ’em:): Cardinal should have been ranked last week, and definitely will be if it can win this one. The smart money is coming in on Stanford — OSU started as a 2.5-point favorite — and that proved a fortuitous omen for the Cardinal against UW two weeks ago. Key is whether the Beavers can contain Toby Gerhart, averaging 130 yards per game, with a run defense that hasn’t allowed a gain of more than 18 years all season — lowest of any team in the Pac-10. This just feels like the kind of game the Beavers will pull out at home. OREGON STATE 27, STANFORD 23.
ARIZONA STATE AT WASHINGTON STATE (Devils by 21): Dennis Erickson returns to the Palouse to face one of his former players on the other side, Paul Wulff. Hard to tell who needs the win more. ASU showed lots of promise in the firs three games, but the home loss to OSU indicated lots of questions. Still, worth pointing out that ASU outgained the Beavers 406-295 and had 26 first downs, losing largely because of a 4-18 third-down efficiency ratio, one of those things that can vary pretty widely from week to week. Expect it to vary in the direction of ASU this week as its defensive speed figures to overwhelm the Cougars on that side of the ball, and that should give the Devils offense some opportunities to get some momentum. ASU 38, WSU 10.
LAST WEEK: 4-1 straight up and against the spread.
SEASON: 25-12 straight up, 13-19-2 against the spread.
As always, the UW pick will come later in a separate entry.



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