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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 15, 2009 at 12:30 PM

Pac-10 picks, week seven

Wow, really? We’re in the seventh week of the season already?
And just in time, your humble correspondent is hitting his handicapping stride.
I was a perfect 4-0 last week straight-up and 3-1 against the spread (and sure, the Mason Foster miracle helped, but if ASU hadn’t turned the ball over 5,000 times in Pullman I would have won that won against the spread, so figure it evens out).
Again, only three non-Husky games this week, so away we go:
USC AT NOTRE DAME (Trojans by 10): Obviously, UW beat USC and lost to Notre Dame. But I think any realistic view of those two teams would conclude that the Trojans are better and ought to win this game, especially now that they are healthy (though both teams had a bye last week so each will be in its best physical shape in a while). And USC has already proven it can go on the road and win a big game in the Midwest, having done so at Ohio State last month. USC has beaten Notre Dame like Liston used to beat Patterson every year but one since 2002, and it’s worth wondering if the odds will catch up to the Trojans — can the Trojans really keep doing that to Notre Dame every year? On the other hand, better is better, and all the talk about how much Notre Dame needs to win this one makes you wonder if it’s the Irish that will come out tight and pucker up even more if things start to unravel early. Here’s thinking this is the day this USC team truly proves its worth. USC 34, NOTRE DAME 17.
CAL AT UCLA (Bears by 3.5): So who’dathunkit a month ago that the loser of this one would be 0-3 in Pac-10 play? Loser also officially cements itself as the most disappointing team in the conference (and if it’s Cal, in the nation). Bears have been a disaster in their first two games. But Cal also played maybe the best two teams in the conference in Oregon and USC. UCLA was dominated by Stanford and didn’t do anything against Oregon’s defense and the thought here is that the Bears will finally wake up. Jahvid Best will be the best player on the field and that should be enough for Cal. CAL 27, UCLA 13.
STANFORD AT ARIZONA (Wildcats by 5): A mid-October redemption bowl for two teams that suffered disheartening losses last week, if in different manners — Arizona blowing one late, Stanford surprisingly never really in it at Oregon State. If the Wildcats had their RBs healthy I’d pick them without a second thought. But we saw here last week how UA’s game plan changed without their top two RBs, and if they have the same red-zone issues as last week, this game will be a struggle. The home field advantage for the Wildcats makes this one a split call — UA to win but the Cardinal to cover. ARIZONA 27, STANFORD 24.
RECORD TO DATE: Straight up — 29-12; against the spread, 16-20-1.
And as always, the UW pick will come later.

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