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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 27, 2009 at 2:22 PM

Bye week questions, volume one

Bye week success, TV times, and more in this very special Q-and-A. …
Q: Much has been said about the importance of having a bye week to refresh the troops and prepare for the next opponent. I always get frustrated when that is said prior to a Husky football game. According to my informally kept statistics over the years I can’t think of a single instance when the Huskies actually won the game immediately following a bye week. Could you possibly check those statistics and tell me what the win-loss record is for the Dawgs following a bye week during the regular season? I think it’s pretty dismal. That’s why I’m afraid the Huskies are doomed for 2 automatic losses this year because the powers-that-be thought they needed not one, but two bye weeks. Anybody but the dawgs perhaps benefit from a bye week. Once again, according to my informal statistics, any team that plays the Huskies and had a bye week previous use it to prepare well and usually beat the Huskies.
A: Well, the one thing to keep in mind is that any won-loss statistic — games played in any month of the year, games played on any specific date — will look bad based on the way UW has played the last seven years, So I don’t think it’s just been after bye weeks when UW has struggled.
Yes, UW is 0-5 after bye weeks since 2004 — but three of those losses came in the 0-12 season of last year and the 1-10 of 2004, so I don’t really think it’s the bye week you could blame (the others were 2005 at Oregon and 2007 at Arizona State). I certainly wouldn’t use those results to discount the value of bye weeks. Certainly, it can be overvalued.
But I think Saturday’s game also shows how much they can help — there’s little question Oregon was a much fresher and healthier team Saturday with guys like Jeremiah Masoli and T.J. Ward back — and that showed in the way the Ducks played. Obviously, they shouldn’t be viewed as any guarantee of success. But I would think this bye would help the Huskies quite a bit. UW was 6-1 following bye weeks from 1996-2002, showing that in years when the Huskies were more competitive, the bye weeks may have helped a bit.
Q: Any update on when the kickoff may be for the Apple Cup, and on TV for the UCLA game?
A: First, the Apple Cup. The official details on that likely won’t be announced until the regular 12 days prior. However, it is most likely to be a 3:30 FSN game. The other unselected game that day is Arizona-Arizona State, which right now would seem a more attractive option for the other TV slot, 12:30 on ABC. But the Apple Cup will be one or the other — 12:30 or 3:30 — and again, I would think 3:30 just looking at it logically.
As for UCLA, the kickoff time will be 12:30. It has already been selected for Prime Ticket in LA, which is an offshoot of FSN. So the assumption is that the game will be on TV here on FSN-NW, though that hasn’t yet been officially announce. But that’s the only option.
Q: How about predicted point spreads in the remaining UW games? You did that at the beginning of the season which I thought was cool.
A: You might have been the only one that did. Anyway, how about this: UCLA — Bruins by 3; Oregon State — Beavers by 9; WSU — Huskies by 22; Cal — Bears by 5.
More later.



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