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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

November 15, 2009 at 11:00 AM

Breaking down the Rose Bowl race

Washington’s bowl hopes are done for this season, but there is obviously a good Pac-10 race brewing. And since a few of you asked for a breakdown, here goes.
First, the standings:
Oregon 6-1 8-2
Stanford 6-2 7-3
Oregon State 5-2 7-3
Arizona 4-2 6-3
USC 4-3 7-3
California 4-3 7-3
UCLA 2-5 5-5
Arizona State 2-5 4-6
Washington 2-5 3-7
Washington State 0-7 1-9
The only two teams that control their own destiny are Arizona and Oregon. Arizona beat both Stanford and Oregon State, so it has head-to-head tiebreakers on those two (and three-way, as well) and can get the same edge on Oregon when it hosts the Ducks Saturday in Tucson. Arizona also still has games left at Arizona State and USC and has to win those, as well.
Oregon, with just the one conference loss, obviously can’t be caught if it simply never loses again. But Oregon has two tough games remaining — at Arizona and home to Oregon State Dec. 3.
Oregon State beat Stanford, so it may have the next clearest path to the Pasadena. In fact, OSU’s path is pretty simple — if Oregon beats Arizona Saturday and OSU wins at WSU, then the winner of the Civil War Dec. 3 goes to the Rose Bowl. It apparently hasn’t happened since 1964 that the Civil War was a winner-take-all battle for the Rose Bowl.
Stanford has a trickier road since it lost to both Oregon State and Arizona. What Stanford needs is to beat Cal Saturday, have Arizona beat Oregon, Oregon beat Oregon State and USC beat Arizona.
Jon Wilner of the San Jose Mercury News has actually come up with a scenario for a six-way tie at 6-3 that would send — you guessed it, USC — to the Rose Bowl, But that can only occur if Washington State beats Oregon State, and as Dana Carvey would say “not gonna happen.”
Otherwise, looks like USC is cooked, the king finally have been toppled.

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