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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

September 2, 2010 at 10:57 AM

Pac-10 picks, Week One

Finally, real live football begins tonight, the kind that will undoubtedly result in all kinds of memorable moments like Mason Foster’s interception a year ago:
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And once again, I plan to (futilely?) make picks for every Pac-10 game, counting the results both straight-up and against the spread. Feel free to make your own picks in the comments section (though I offer no prizes — sorry). And as always, I’ll save the UW pick for Friday.
USC AT HAWAII (Trojans by 21): Obviously all kinds of storylines surrounding the Trojans in this one to make this game much more intriguing to watch than it might normally be. The spread has gone up almost three points in USC’s favor, and you’d think that USC’s talent should reign supreme. I expect Hawaii to hang tough early and eventually wilt. USC 38, HAWAII 21.
ARIZONA AT TOLEDO (Wildcats by 15-and-a-half): Another line that has gone up three points in the direction of the Pac-10 team. Seems like a lot of points to give against a Toledo team that has been dangerous at home, winning five of its last six home games against BCS teams, including a 54-38 win over Colorado last season. I think Arizona escapes, but not before a few scary moments. ARIZONA 41, TOLEDO 27.
NEW MEXICO AT OREGON (Ducks by 35): Main intrigue here is seeing how new Oregon starting QB Daron Thomas performs. No reasonable reason to think the Ducks won’t romp. OREGON 52, NEW MEXICO 7.
UCLA AT KANSAS STATE (Wildcats by one-and-a-half): The line began with UCLA favored by two-and-a-half, but bettors have apparently taken a closer look at the Bruins’ offensive line and realized its been hard hit by injuries. Throw in a somewhat uncertain QB situation, and this seems like a tough way for former UW coach Rick Neuheisel to start his third season in Westwood. K-State improved steadily last season in the first year of the second tenure of Bill Snyder, and should pick up where it left off. K-STATE 27, UCLA 14.
OREGON STATE VS. TCU IN ARLINGTON, TEXAS (Horned Frogs by 13-and a half): Huge game for TCU, which has a pretty easy path to an undefeated season if it wins this one. The perception of that record would look a lot better with a big win here, however. OSU’s big question mark is new QB Ryan Katz. He’ll look a lot better if the Rodgers brothers — making something of a homecoming — have a big day. I think the Beavers prove better than everyone thinks. OSU 24, TCU 21.
WASHINGTON STATE AT OKLAHOMA STATE (Cowboys by 15-and-a-half): This line has actually come down a point in WSU’s favor, though it’s hard to figure out why. I know the Cougars should be improved, and OSU isn’t as good as it was a year ago. But WSU just has so far to go just to reach mediocrity it’s hard to see them really pulling off a victory here. OSU 31, WSU 6.
There’s no official line on three Pac-10 games involving lower-division teams — Stanford-Sacramento State; Cal-UC-Davis; and Arizona State-Portland State. And no reason there should be as none of these should be competitive. Here are my predictions: Stanford 49, Sac State 10; Cal 52, UC-Davis 13; Arizona State 38, PSU 7.
The Sac State game is somewhat intriguing for UW fans to watch to see what former Husky Curtis Shaw can do there as a running back. Same with the PSU game, where former Husky Nigel Burton makes his coaching debut with a roster that includes former Huskies Willie Griffin and Scott Shugert.

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