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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

September 9, 2010 at 10:51 AM

Picking the Pac

A middling start to the 2010 season on the blog, going 7-3 straight-up, but just 3-4 against the spread — including missing on the UW game. (The difference in the total is that some games didn’t have a spread last week).
But like the Huskies, we’re hoping for better things in week two (and as always, the UW pick will come Friday).
VIRGINIA AT USC (Trojans by 19-and-a-half): Cavaliers are in rebuilding mode and the Trojans should be able to score at will at home. As we saw last week, USC’s defense is susceptible, especially the secondary. But UVA seems unlikely to be good enough to really take advantage. USC 41, VIRGINIA 19.
OREGON AT TENNESSEE (Ducks by 12): A long trip and a tough venue for the Ducks. But the Vols are also in rebuilding mode, and Oregon’s offense doesn’t appear to have missed a beat. Obviously, this game will be much more telling than the New Mexico game, but 72-0 is still 72-0. If Oregon struggles at all, however, wait for the national media to start unleashing the stories on how down the Pac-10 is. OREGON 38, TENNESSEE 17.
COLORADO AT CAL (Bears by 9): This line has moved a lot, with the Bears originially favored by just four. That’s not always a good omen, as UW found out last week. And seems a little surprising given how the Buffs dominated Colorado State last week — the Buffs seem to have an improving defense. But Cal’s usually pretty good in these early-season home non-conference games, so we’ll side with the Bears to win and cover. CAL 31, COLORADO 20.
STANFORD AT UCLA (Cardinal by 6): The first Pac-10 conference game of the year is critical for a Bruins’ team that hosts Houston and plays at Texas the next two weeks. UCLA’s run defense didn’t look all that good last week and to me, that’s the key matchup of this one if Stanford’s O-line can plow some holes and open up running lanes, and time for Andrew Luck when he wants to pass. UCLA has won six in a row at home against Stanford, but seems like it’s time for that streak to end. STANFORD 27, UCLA 14.
NORTHERN ARIZONA AT ARIZONA STATE (No line): No spread on this one since it involves an FCS team. And also no suspense likely in this one as the Sun Devils should romp. ASU 49, NAU 10.
MONTANA STATE AT WASHINGTON STATE (no line): Cougars were again abysmal in week one, and even Paul Wulff’s most ardent supporters are beginning to waver. They’ll really fall off the wagon if this one slips away from the Cougars — and MSU is one of the better Big Sky teams out there. Montana State will likely score some points, but WSU should have enough edges in overall athletic ability to pull away, especially with its passing game, the one area of the team where the Cougars stack up to a Pac-10 level. WSU 38, MONTANA STATE 21.
THE CITADEL AT ARIZONA (no line): Whoops, forgot this one first time through. Arizona hasn’t lost to an FCS team since 1950 and shouldn’t have trouble here. Only danger is looking past this one to next week’s visit from Iowa. ARIZONA 48, THE CITADEL 6.
RECORD TO DATE:
Straight up: 7-3.
Against the spread: 3-4 (three games had no line last week).

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