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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

September 17, 2010 at 10:08 AM

Pac-10 picks, week three

Like just about everybody else who bothers to pick Pac-10 games, I went 8-0 last week as there was little real drama anywhere — other than in Pullman, where the Cougars could have lost by three TDs to Montana State but were lucky that the Bobcats’ QB kept throwing passes that got tipped (one by one of his own lineman) and fell into the hands of WSU defenders, leading to an improbable comeback and win.
Other than that, a pretty status quo 8-0 last week (3-2 against the spread) has me at 15-3 for the season straight up (and 6-6 against the spread).
CAL AT NEVADA (Bears by 2-and-a-half): A dangerous game for the Bears, but this is September, the time of year when Cal almost always looks like world-beaters. Their speed should eventually be too much. CAL 31, NEVADA 24.
ARIZONA STATE AT WISCONSIN (Badgers by 14): ASU looks better, and this line has come down three-and-a-half points in ASU’s favor since the start of the week. But I just don’t think the Devils are good enough to pull this one off. WISCONSIN 24, ASU 13.
WASHINGTON STATE AT SMU (Mustangs by 23): Most interesting thing about this game could be the TV commentary by Mike Leach. Watched some of the TV replay of WSU’s win over MSU and even Jason Gesser sounded disgusted — while wondering how Montana State seemed to be as fast as the Cougars. None of that sounds good heading into this one. SMU 45, WSU 13.
LOUISVILLE AT OREGON STATE (Beavers by 20): This line has gone up six points in OSU’s favor, and while I like the Beavers, that suddenly seems like a lot. OSU usually isn’t quite at its best at this time of year, so while I see a comfortable win, I think the visitors at least cover. OSU 37, LOUISVILLE 20.
USC AT MINNESOTA (Trojans by 11-and-a-half): Lane Kiffin returns to one of his many homes with a Trojan team that suddenly seems a real enigma. The line has gone down from 13, others also wary of what they’ve seen of USC. But Minnesota is terrible and USC should play a little better. USC 34, MINNESOTA 20.
IOWA AT ARIZONA (Hawkeyes by 1-and-a-half): Arizona’s looked impressive in beating up two undermanned teams, but now gets a real test in Iowa. Arizona didn’t look good in losing at Iowa last season, nor in its bowl game against Nebraska — its last two big non-conference games. But here’s thinking that the UA offense will catch Iowa a little by surprise. ARIZONA 31, IOWA 24.
HOUSTON AT UCLA (Cougars by 3): A real gut check time for the Bruins, who looked simply awful last week against Stanford amid growing rumblings about the direction of the program. UCLA could catch a break if Houston QB Case Keenum can’t play, though the tepid nature of the UCLA offense makes you wonder if it will matter much. Rick Neuheisel has usually been pretty good with his back to wall, but the Bruins just don’t seem to have it right now. HOUSTON 27, UCLA 14.
WAKE FOREST AT STANFORD (Cardinal by 17): Of course, the Stanford-UCLA outcome could have just been more evidence of the strength of the Cardinal. Stanford is emerging as the toughest team in the Pac-10 on both sides of the ball and should have little trouble in this one. STANFORD 35, WAKE FOREST 13.
(And for what it’s worth, Oregon 55, Portland State 6).
RECORD LAST WEEK: 8-0 straight up, 3-2 against the spread.
SEASON TO DATE: 15-3 straight-up, 6-6 against the spread.

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