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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 7, 2010 at 2:31 PM

Pac-10 picks, week six

Barely into October and already staring at a week that could go a long way toward separating the top from the bottom — two of the four or Cal, USC, UCLA and Stanford will have two losses by the end of the weekend — or simply muddle everything that much more.
The muddle middle is where I continue to reside with my picks, going 2-2 both straight-up (right on UCLA and Oregon) and against the spread last week (right on UW and Oregon).
So I guess I fit right into the theme of increasing parity in college football.
On with the picks, though as always, note that the UW-ASU selection will come tomorrow (unlike Terrence Jones, I don’t want to fully commit until I’m ready).
OREGON AT WASHINGTON STATE (Ducks by 36): WSU showed some life last week against a UCLA team that was surely looking both back and ahead instead of straight forward. WSU figures to have no such luck this week against an Oregon team that will likely be able to name its score. WSU may hit a few deep throws, but otherwise, this should be a romp. OREGON 58, WSU 14.
OREGON STATE AT ARIZONA (Wildcats by 7): The Beavers have won the last two in Tucson, including a critical victory in 2008 that kept their Rose Bowl hopes alive. But Arizona has been off a week while the Beavers have had three pretty tough games in a row. OSU has been giving up a lot of yards passing, and the Wildcats should be able to move the ball well in this one. I don’t think OSU will be able to keep up. ARIZONA 31, OSU 21.
USC AT STANFORD (Cardinal by 9-and-a-half): When do you figure the last time USC was this big an underdog in a Pac-10 game? In fact, it’s the first time Troy’s been an underdog since a 2007 game at Oregon. But the line seems correct — Stanford, despite the big loss to the Ducks, projects as simply a better team in most areas than USC, which just doesn’t have the defensive playmakers it used to. Will be very interesting to see how USC responds mentally to last week’s loss. If the Trojans don’t really bring it, this game may turn out not to be that big of a deal. STANFORD 35, USC 21.
UCLA AT CAL (Bears by 7-and-a-half): Two teams that it’s still hard to know exactly how good they are. Cal has had two weeks since the shocking collapse at Arizona — a game that for 58 minutes seemed to indicate the Bears are pretty good. UCLA was surprisingly tested last week by the Cougars before ultimately putting it away with a suddenly powerful running game. I’m going to side with Cal’s better balance and home field. CAL 27, UCLA 21.
LAST WEEK: Straight up, 2-2; against the spread, 2-2.
SEASON TO DATE: Straight up, 30-8, against the spread, 15-15-1.

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