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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

November 25, 2010 at 6:22 PM

This week’s Pac-10 picks

Second-to-last weekend of the regular season, and my hopes of finishing with even a .500 record against the spread are just about shot, further proof to me that I need not move to Las Vegas.
Judging by the spreads, aside from the UW-Cal and USC-Notre Dame games it looks like it could be a bunch of blowouts in the Pac-10 this weekend.
But that doesn’t mean this weekend will lack for drama.
The Ducks face one of their stiffest tests in trying to run the table and land in the national title game as Arizona comes to town (if not as stiff as it appeared it would be a month ago or so).
And UCLA and Oregon State each need wins to keep bowl hopes alive (and even ASU in the off-chance it could get a waiver of one of its non-FBS wins if it gets to 6-6).
On with the picks (and as always, the UW selection to come later):
UCLA AT ARIZONA STATE (Devils by 13): Sun Devils had a week off to prepare for a reeling UCLA team with little offense. Line has gone up from 10-13 this week, and from here, that seems like the right way to play it as ASU should get the win going away. Still, you never know for sure about desperate Rick Neuheisel-coached teams — and if the Bruins lose this one the situation will get dire as UCLA will be staring at a 4-8 season that will raise a lot of grumbling in Westwood. ASU has a tendency to self-destruct, but even that shouldn’t prevent a Sun Devil win in this one. ASU 34, UCLA 13.
ARIZONA AT OREGON (Ducks by 18): This might have been a lot better game a month ago before Arizona started getting banged up physically and mentally. Wildcats have lost two in a row and meet an Oregon team fixing to again pile up a lot of points on someone after the near-miss at Cal. If Nick Foles plays well, Arizona should be able to score some points and maybe hang with the Ducks for a little while. But hard to see it lasting for four quarters. OREGON 44, ARIZONA 24.
NOTRE DAME AT USC (Trojans by 4): For the first time this season, USC last weekend looked like the unmotivated, ill-prepared team many expected to see more often this year given all that has happened. And now USC likely has to go with backup QB Mitch Mustain in the latest edition of one of sport’s great rivalries. Still, Notre Dame simply isn’t that good and being back at home should help lift the Trojans. USC 31, NOTRE DAME 21.
OREGON STATE AT STANFORD (Cardinal by 14.5): Oregon State, which is challenging Cal for title of most erratic team in the conference, needs to win one of its last two to get to a bowl — either this game or next week against Oregon. Tough task indeed. Making this one even tougher is that OSU handled the Cardinal last year in Corvallis pretty easily, a 38-28 win that wasn’t that close. Cal and Wake Forest have already learned harsh lessons this year about what Stanford can do when it wants revenge. STANFORD 41, OREGON STATE 17.
LAST WEEK: Straight up, 2-1; against the spread, 1-2.
SEASON TO DATE: Straight up, 52-16, against the spread, 25-33-1.

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