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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

October 19, 2011 at 2:11 PM

Wednesday afternoon links — Picks, stats and more

How big a game is Saturday’s? So big I couldn’t contain all the links in just one morning post. So here’s a bunch more stuff, including more than a few predictions and some interesting statistitcs. …

— Though first, we start with the news that the game has been declared an official sellout — that’ll be a first for me as there has always been acres of empty seats there for every UW-Stanford game I’ve ever covered previously down there.

— The guys at Football Outsiders have their updated rankings of all of the offenses and defenses in college football. As might be expected, UW’s offense ranks highly — No. 8 in the country this week. Its highest numbers come in First Down Rate — the number of drives that result in at least one first down (fifth in the nation); and Explosive Drives, the number of drives that average at least 10 yards per play (sixth).

More of a surprise might be UW’s defense ranking 49th overall, despite the fact that some of its individual numbers aren’t real good. UW, for instance, is 101 in First Down rate — the percentage of opponent drives that result in at least one first down; 94th in Methodical Drives, the percentage of each of its opponent’s drives that result in 10 or more plays; and 90th in Value Drives, the percentage of opponent’s drives that start on its own end the field that reach at least the UW 30. But true to the bend-but-don’t-break nature, UW is 55th in Explosive Drives, drives in which the other team averages at least 10 yards per play.

Phil Steele’s computer sees a sizeable Cardinal win, but he picks the game closer, calling it Stanford 34-24.

Jon Wilner ranks UW fourth in the Pac-12 this week and also looks at who has benefitted most from the teams they are missing out on playing in the expanded conference this year.

— The Sports Network picks Stanford to win 35-17.

— The Sporting News says UW could be Stanford’s biggest threat so far.

— A writer for the UW Daily says Stanford will be a “litmus test” for the Huskies.

— The AP picks Stanford 35-24.

— Here are the picks from CBSSports.com (fixed from earlier).

Ted Miller’s Superlative Tracker includes both Keith Price and Chris Polk as candidates for Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year and Steve Sarkisian as Coach of the Year.

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