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Husky Football Blog

The latest news and analysis on the Montlake Dawgs.

September 28, 2012 at 10:04 PM

Pac-12 picks, Week Five

Typical of the way things are going for me in the prediction department, it’s not even Saturday yet and I’m already in the hole.

As I’ve been reminded, I picked Stanford to beat Washington (though I don’t think I was the only one) and was proven about as accurate as a Josh Nunes pass.

But the weekend remains young. I’ll turn the hat inside-out and backwards and all that and call it Rally Time

As always, point spreads are from the Daily Line in the Seattle Times.

ARIZONA STATE AT CAL (Pick ’em): And what an intriguing game this is with one of the latest Pac-12’s Flavor of the Month heading to Berkeley to play a Cal team that is in danger of seeing its season all but over by the end of September. I’ve always regarded it as pretty unfathomable that Jeff Tedford’s job would really be in danger (and the finances of it make it pretty unlikely in any case). But a loss here and a season that would be quickly getting away would start to lead to lots of speculation. ASU looked like the real deal last week with a dominating win over Utah. But the Devils lost their only road game of the season at Missouri, and it’s not like Cal is untested, having played already at Ohio State and Cal. Pick ’em feels about right for a game that looks like a toss up. I’m going to go with the hot team. ASU 31, CAL 27.

UCLA AT COLORADO (Bruins by 20): Wow, so how can a team tied for first in the rugged Pac-12 South be a 20-point underdog at home? The Buffs pulled off the big upset in Pullman last week, while UCLA was surprised at home by Oregon State in a game in which the Beavers simply looked like the better team. Hard to figure the Bruins won’t bounce back here, though, against a CU defense that despite the win last week, appears to have more holes than the plot of any Mission Impossible movie. UCLA 42, COLORADO 17.

OREGON STATE AT ARIZONA (Wildcats by 2.5): And here’s a game as equally intriguing as the Cal-ASU tussle, featuring the red-hot Beavers and an Arizona team coming off maybe the most competitive 49-0 loss in football history. OSU’s defense has shown it has the versatility to shut down fairly contrasting styles in Wisconsin and UCLA, and Sean Mannion looks like the real deal. But night games in the desert often are tricky for the best of teams. Here’s thinking the ‘Cats bounce back. ARIZONA 31, OREGON STATE 21.

OREGON AT WASHINGTON STATE (Ducks by 30.5): Remember when this looked like a game where you thought the over-under might approach 100, and it could still be a competitive game? Now it just looks like another game where Oregon can name its score before resting its starters. The Huskies will probably hope the Cougars can tire them out some, with UW’s trip to Eugene on tap next week. UW’s win over Stanford shows how much college football teams can change from game-to-game. But the results of last week don’t trend well for a fun night in Seattle for WSU. OREGON 52, WSU 17.

RECORDS
LAST WEEK
STRAIGHT-UP: 2-3
AGAINST THE SPREAD: 1-4

SEASON TOTALS
STRAIGHT-UP: 27-11.
AGAINST THE SPREAD: 11-22.

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