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Husky Men's Basketball

The latest news and analysis on Husky men's hoops.

January 12, 2009 at 1:55 PM

Bracketology out, Huskies in

The latest Bracketology is out, and the Huskies — despite a 1-1 weekend — are in.
Here’s a link, and as you can see, Joe Lunardi has UW pegged as No. 10 seed, facing Tennessee (an imminently beatable team were that matchup to happen).
Lundardi tends to update this every Monday and I spent a few minutes this morning wondering if he’d have UW in. Last week, he had four Pac-10 teams in, which is the most likely number right now that the conference is going to get. Three seem almost certain to get in barring total collapse — UCLA, ASU and Cal. Last week, Lundardi’s fourth Pac-10 team in was Stanford.
But the Cardinal lost twice over the weekend, including to UW, so I figured that would drop Stanford out. USC also lost and is now 1-2 in Pac-10 play. And while Arizona swept the Oregon schools, the Wildcats are still behind UW in both the standings and the RPI (UW is at 37 today, behind Cal and ASU).
So sure enough, Lunardi saw it similarly and today has UW in.
In the caveat I’ll point out every week so you don’t have to, I realize this means nothing right now. The bigger picture is that the fight for the last one or two spots in the tournament out of the Pac-10 may be more intense than ever.
As mentioned above, UCLA, ASU and Cal look like sure things. If that seems too strong about Cal, consider that the Bears already have two road conference wins, and in places where most teams might not get them, and still have the Oregon trip to make. Win those two, go 7-2 at home, and that’s 11 conference wins and an unquestioned ticket in right there.
So that leaves UW, USC, Arizona and Stanford fighting for the one or two other spots. The Pac-10 is now up to fourth in conference RPI, so five spots is surely within the realm. Still, no guarantee there, and it could just be those four battling for one spot (with WSU seeming out of it but able to get back at least on the periphery of the discussion with a sweep in Oregon this weekend. If WSU doesn’t do that, its chances would seem completely gone).
The Huskies would also do well to sweep this weekend when you look at the three weeks that follow — home to UCLA and USC and then on the road to the two Arizona schools and Cal and Stanford. UW might be lucky to split those six games. Entering that stretch at 4-1 in Pac-10 play would make a split look just fine. Anything else, however, and it becomes more problematic.

Comments | Topics: UCLA

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