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Husky Men's Basketball

The latest news and analysis on Husky men's hoops.

January 28, 2009 at 10:56 PM

Pac-10 picks

Back to the hoops blog for a while after taking a few days off — thanks to Percy for filling in for a while.
And hopefully also back on the horse after a Saturday shrouded in failure.
I was 1-3 for the day, including an admittedly horrible read on the WSU-USC game, and missing on the Huskies — my thought that UCLA had the odds in its favor to finally win at Hec Ed proven wrong by Washington’s superior backcourt and clutch play.
Mea cuplas aside, on with the picks:
WASHINGTON AT ARIZONA (Huskies by two): So when do you think the last time UW was favored to win at Arizona? Maybe 1985? I don’t think it ever happened during the recent good run, when Arizona was also really good. Either way, it certainly hasn’t happened often. It’s interesting that you look at the stats, and Arizona looks a lot better than a 2-5 conference team — UA is top five in just about everything and ranks ahead of UW in such usually key categories as field goal percentage offense, defense,three-point percentage offense and defense and assist-to-turnover ratio. The stats where UW has a significant edge are turnover margin and rebonding margin. More to the point, this will be UW’s stiffest road test of the year considering both the quality of the opposition and the setting. Arizona is 9-2 at home, losing only in the last seconds to UAB and Arizona State, and beating handily the likes of Kansas. Still, UW seems to be at a peak while Arizona is hanging on for dear life. Here’s one thought that the Huskies’ superior depth find a way to get it done. WASHINGTON 82, ARIZONA 78.
WASHINGTON STATE AT ARIZONA STATE (Sun Devils by 11-and-a-half): WSU has won six of the last seven against ASU, sweeping the season series the last two years. But each of the last two at ASU have been one-point decisions, and each of those was better WSU teams than this facing worse ASU teams than this. ASU needs a win to set up a showdown with UW while WSU is in danger of falling into CBI territory with a pair of losses in Arizona. No reason to think ASU doesn’t finally get off the mat against WSU. ASU 67, WSU 58.
CAL AT UCLA (Bruins by 12): Two teams that have each lost two of three to fall behind the Huskies. Especially critical for Cal as the Bears also then must go to USC Saturday. Cal
s three-point shooting has fallen off markedly in Pac-10 play (down to 46.9 for the season) . UCLA is next in three-point shooting at 38.2 percent. UCLA has won seven of eight against Bears and home court will prove the difference again. UCLA 75, CAL 69.
STANFORD AT USC (No line): The uncertainty over Dwight Lewis is surely the reason for the lack of any line on this game. But Trojans showed some gumption by rallying to win at WSU without their leading scorer. If USC had any outside shooting it would be as dangerous as any team in the conference. Stanford is one of just three conference teams (Arizona and Oregon the others) not to win a conference road game. That won’t end against the Trojans even though Mitch Johnson is supposed to be back in the lineup, which should help the cause for the Caridnal. USC 69, STANFORD 62.

Comments | Topics: UCLA


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