Follow us:

Husky Men's Basketball

The latest news and analysis on Husky men's hoops.

February 22, 2012 at 6:11 AM

Why the computers hate the Huskies

I’ve been flooded with emails asking why Washington doesn’t garner more respect from the computers?
Not sure I totally agree with the premise seeing as how the Huskies are 54th in the RPI, which is second among Pac-12 schools.
Granted Ken Pomeroy isn’t much of a UW fan. His rating system says the Huskies are No. 65 behind California (18), Arizona (42), UCLA (54) and Stanford (61).
Jeff Sagarin is also down on the Huskies. His rating system has UW at No. 61 behind Cal (19), Arizona (44) and Stanford (58).
The LMRC basketball ratings ranks the Pac-12 teams: Cal (19), Arizona (45) and Washington (63).
And finally, the College Basketball Ranking Comparison compares 47 different ratings and computes the averages. Using this metric Cal is 23, Arizona 49 and Washington 52.
The Huskies are tied with Cal on top of the Pac-12 standings and they’ve handed two losses to Arizona. Yet, the computers believe the best teams in the conference are Cal and Arizona followed by UW.
Why?
I don’t know, but I’ve got a couple of guesses.
Washington’s non-conference opponents have fared well – especially the teams that beat UW. The Huskies also have the highest strength of schedule in the conference at 74. Both factors explain why they have a relatively high RPI because it takes into account the opponent’s winning percentage and strength of schedule.
Still two factors can’t be ignored when it comes to the Huskies.
Washington is 3-8 vs. top 100 RPI teams, while Cal is 6-4 and Arizona 5-8.
Four of Washington’s eight defeats have been by 13 points or more, which negatively affects the Huskies in ratings that factor the margin of victory. Cal and Arizona have each loss by double-digit margins twice.
Teamrankings.com handicaps the Pac-12 Tournament and makes Cal the favorite. The Golden Bears odds of winning are 35.3 percent followed by Arizona (19.3) and Washington (12.3).
The website projects the Huskies will finish the season 21-9 and 14-4 for second place in the conference. It gives UW a 13.5 percent chance of winning is three remaining games.

Comments | Topics: UCLA

COMMENTS

No personal attacks or insults, no hate speech, no profanity. Please keep the conversation civil and help us moderate this thread by reporting any abuse. See our Commenting FAQ.



The opinions expressed in reader comments are those of the author only, and do not reflect the opinions of The Seattle Times.


The Seattle Times

The door is closed, but it's not locked.

Take a minute to subscribe and continue to enjoy The Seattle Times for as little as 99 cents a week.

Subscription options ►

Already a subscriber?

We've got good news for you. Unlimited seattletimes.com content access is included with most subscriptions.

Subscriber login ►
The Seattle Times

To keep reading, you need a subscription upgrade.

We hope you have enjoyed your complimentary access. For unlimited seattletimes.com access, please upgrade your digital subscription.

Call customer service at 1.800.542.0820 for assistance with your upgrade or questions about your subscriber status.

The Seattle Times

To keep reading, you need a subscription.

We hope you have enjoyed your complimentary access. Subscribe now for unlimited access!

Subscription options ►

Already a subscriber?

We've got good news for you. Unlimited seattletimes.com content access is included with most subscriptions.

Activate Subscriber Account ►