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Husky Men's Basketball

The latest news and analysis on Husky men's hoops.

November 24, 2013 at 8:04 AM

Dismal forecast for Washington

Washington coach Lorenzo Romar is staring at a 2-3 start and possibly his toughest season during his 12-year UW tenure. (Getty Images)

Washington coach Lorenzo Romar is staring at a 2-3 start and possibly his toughest season during his 12-year UW tenure. (Getty Images)

Even before Jernard Jarreau’s season-ending knee injury, the loss of Desmond Simmons for a few weeks and their 2-3 start, the Huskies were picked to finish eighth in the Pac-12 in a preseason media poll.

Given new information, the college basketball forecasters have adjusted their predictions and the future appears dim for Washington.

Noted statistician Ken Pomeroy has UW finishing with a 13-18 overall record and 6-12 in Pac-12.

Pomeroy’s prediction is similar to a projection from Team Rankings, a gambling website, that computes Washington will finish eighth in the Pac-12.

Using advanced mathematics, Pomeroy said Washington does a very good job at protecting the ball. The Huskies average 11.7 turnovers, which ranks fifth among the 351 Division I teams. They also do a good job at the line, converting 75 percent of their free throws that ranks 55th in the nation.

However, Washington is atrocious on defense where it has a 56.4 effective field goal percentage (318 rank) and opponents are converting 57 percent of their shots inside the arc, which ranks 330th.

Pomeroy has Washington at No. 138 in his overall rating.

Jeff Sagarin, a sports statistician for USA Today, has the Huskies at 172 in his rankings.

Despite two losses last week in New York to Indiana and Boston College, Washington’s RPI rose from 211 to 196 in the CBSsports.com RPI.

SUNDAY MORNING LINKS:

— The best Pac-12 game today pits Colorado against Harvard in a battle of teams just outside the top 25 rankings.

Jordan Loveridge scored a career-high 25 points and collected nine rebounds to lead Utah to a 71-57 win over Savannah State.  The Utes are 5-0, which is their best start since 1998. However, Utah’s strength of schedule is ranked 350th nationally by Sagarin and 348th in Pomeroy’s rating.

— Colorado coach Tad Boyle is impressed with the success Kentucky coach John Calipari has had with freshmen.

— Reserve guard Jalil Abdul-Bassit (ankle) may miss today’s game when No. 17 Oregon (3-0) hosts San Francisco.

— The Ducks signed four players – two high-school standouts and two junior-college transfers – on Friday.

— No. 22 UCLA is 4-0 for the first time since 2007.

TODAY’S SCHEDULE:

Harvard (4-0) at Colorado (5-1), 1:30 p.m. ………………… ESPNU

TCU (1-2) at Washington State (2-1), 3 p.m. ……………… Pac-12 Networks

San Francisco (3-2) at No. 17 Oregon (3-0), 5 p.m. …….. Pac-12 Networks

Chattanooga (2-3) at No. 22 UCLA (4-0), 7 p.m. ………… Pac-12 Networks

Picks: Colorado, WSU, Oregon and UCLA

Season tally: 36-7

Comments | More in Links, Notes, Pac-12 news | Topics: Jeff Sagarin, Ken Pomeroy


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