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January 1, 2014 at 11:47 AM

Pac-12 Power Rankings: Dismal forecast for Washington

Washington begins Pac-12 at 8-5 for the second straight year under coach Lorenzo Romar. Last season the Huskies finished 9-9 in conference and 18-16 overall. ((Photo credit: Stephen Dunn - Getty Images)

Washington begins Pac-12 at 8-5 for the second straight year under coach Lorenzo Romar. Last season the Huskies finished 9-9 in conference and 18-16 overall. ((Photo credit: Stephen Dunn – Getty Images)

The basketball metrics aren’t looking good for Washington. The Huskies are last in the Pac-12 in RPI and ratings by basketball statisticians Jeff Sagarin and Ken Pomeroy.

The Pac-12 season, which begins Thursday, should give UW fans hope and a sense of dread.

On the one hand, the Huskies will have plenty of chances to improve their poor RPI over the next 10 weeks because the Pac-12 is ranked the fourth best conference in the nation, according to the statisticians.

On the other hand, RealTimeRPI.com projects Washington will go 7-11 in the Pac-12 and finish the regular season with a 15-16 record. It would be the first losing season since 2007-08 when the Huskies were 16-17 and 7-11 in the conference.

— Here’s a look at how the Pac-12 teams stand in the RPI: Colorado (7), Arizona (9), Oregon (11), UCLA (56), Arizona State (61), Stanford (70), California (71), USC (84), Washington State (136), Oregon State (161), Utah (166) and Washington (186).

— Here’s where the Pac-12 teams rank in Jeff Sagarin’s ratings: Arizona (1), Oregon (14), Colorado (25), Arizona State (27), UCLA (35), Stanford (50), Utah (62), California (67), USC (108), Washington State (114), Oregon State (120)  and Washington (173).

— Here’s where the Pac-12 rank in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings: Arizona (4), Oregon (23), Colorado (29), UCLA (32), Arizona State (39), Stanford (45), California (58), Utah (71), USC (101), Washington State (117), Oregon State (121) and Washington (152).

— Here’s a look at strength of schedules determined by RealTimeRPI.com: Colorado (6), Arizona (73), California (74), Oregon (83), Washington State (87), Stanford (96), USC (110), Arizona State (159), UCLA (171), Washington (204), Oregon State (207) and Utah (349).

And finally, here’s our take on the conference.

PAC-12 POWER RANKINGS

Team (record) ……….. Last wk … Comment

1. Arizona (13-0) ………. 1 … No. 1 scoring defense in Pac-12 allowing 56.7 ppg.

2. Colorado (11-2) …….. 3 .. Strong non-con showing nearly guarantees NCAA tourney spot

3. Oregon (12-0) ………. 2 … Destination U.; Transfers (Young, Calliste, Moser) thriving in first yr.

4. ASU (11-2) ………….. 4 … Enters Pac-12 w/same record as last year; Finished 9-9 last season

5. UCLA (11-2) ………… 6 … Scoring 12 points more per game (85.5) this yr. under Steve Alford

6. Utah (11-1) ………….. 5 … Transfer G Delon Wright shooting 70.7 percent (70 of 99) from field

7. Stanford (9-3) …….. 7 … Running triangle offense with Dwight Powell as Scottie Pippen.

8. USC (9-4) ………….. 9 … Andy Enfield’s comments add intrigue to Pac-12 opener vs. UCLA

9. California (9-4) ……. 8 … Injuries (Kreklow, Bird and Solomon) thins roster; Cobbs must score

10. OSU (8-4) ………… 10 … Just one more week until suspended F Eric Moreland returns

11. Washington (8-5) … 11 … Who is second-best player? Andrews avg. 15 ppg. last three games

12. WSU (7-5) ……….. 12 … Pac-12’s lowest-scoring team loses top scorer Lacy (appendicitis)

 

Comments | More in Notes, Pac-12 Power rankings

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