Congrats to dawgpound99 who won Saturday’s Guess the UW Score contest. DP99 predicted California would beat Washington 72-65 and the Huskies fell 72-59.
Good job. Please contact me via email (firstname.lastname@example.org) or Twitter to claim your prize (a hot dog and soft drink at a UW home game).
The season is quickly winding down for the Huskies. There might be just six games left. And there’s a five-way tie of two-time winners at the top of the GTUWS leader board that includes: andorsjorstad, nwpdxdawg, irwin m. fletcher, progressive dawg and Htop.
In addition to our humble little contest, be sure to check out Pick & Roll, the Seattle Times prediction contest where you pick the outcomes of Pac-12 men’s basketball games. It’s too late to win the 16GB iPad mini grand prize, but you can still play and keep track of your scores.
Alright, let’s move on.
Four games today and plenty of time to get your picks in. Please post predictions in the comments section.
And finally, here’s a reminder to join us for a Game Center live chat starting at 5:30 p.m. to preview today’s game against Oregon at Matthew Knight Arena. Thanks and good luck.
TODAY’S PAC-12 SCHEDULE:
Washington (14-12, 6-7) at Oregon (16-8, 4-8), 6 p.m. PT ………… ESPN2
No. 4 Arizona (23-2, 10-2) at Utah (17-8, 6-7), 7 p.m. ……………… Fox Sports 1
No. 23 UCLA (20-5, 9-3) at California (17-8, 8-4), 7:30 p.m. …… Pac-12 Networks
Arizona State (19-6, 8-4) at Colorado (19-7, 8-5), 8 p.m. …………. ESPNU
Picks: Arizona, UCLA and Colorado
Pac-12 tally: 52-22 (.702)
Season tally: 149-45 (.768)
Oregon is a 10-point home favorite. That’s a big number for a team that hasn’t won consecutive Pac-12 games. But then maybe the oddsmakers know what they’re doing when you take into account Washington hasn’t won a road game since Jan. 2.
After a 3-1 start in Pac-12 play, the Huskies have lost six of the last nine games. They’ve dropped four of the past five games. Rather than sprint towards the finish line, UW is stumbling down the stretch.
Coach Lorenzo Romar doesn’t believe C.J. Wilox is starting to wear down, but he’s been held to fewer than nine points in two of the past three games.
“I still think the first shot that C.J. takes (Wednesday) is going to go in because I’ve just seen it go in too many times,” Romar said. “He’s healthy now. It is a lot when teams are scheming and game planning for you every game. … I would just imagine where there’s going to be some games where it’s just not going to work out. But I don’t see C.J. being at a point in the season where he just fell off at the end of the year because he had nothing left.”
At home, Wilcox averages 19.1 points. On the road, he averages 16.4. And he’s not the only UW player who struggles on the road. Andrew Andrews’ scoring falls from 13.9 points at home to 8.8 on the road.
Even more discouraging is the change in UW’s defense depending on the venue. During the road losing streak, Washington has allowed 78.3 points per game while averaging 64.3. Opponents are also shooting an average of 51.4 percent from the field while UW is 39.2.
In their first meeting, Washington pulled away from Oregon in the final minutes and won 80-76. The Ducks, which began the season 13-0, are still a mess. Coach Dana Altman is still tinkering with the lineup – Oregon had two new starters point guard Johnathan Loyd and center Waverly Austin - in its last game. It’s a mystery how Ducks have fallen so far, so fast. But they’re 3-3 since the UW loss and all three defeats (against UCLA, then-No. 2 Arizona and Arizona State) were decided by two points. With six regular-season games left there may not be enough time for Oregon to resurrect its season, but the Ducks appear to be strong enough to overcome a mentally unstable UW team that’s 2-9 away from home.
The pick: Oregon 82-70.