With nine games remaining in the second half of the Pac-12 season, there’s seven teams within three games of conference leader Arizona. The Wildcats (21-1, 8-1) have a two-game lead over UCLA (17-5, 6-3) and California (15-7, 6-3). Five teams (Washington, Stanford, Arizona State, Colorado and Oregon State) are tied for fourth place. Oregon and…More
Topic: Jeff Sagarin
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Plenty of movement in the Pac-12 Power Rankings as the non-conference season winds down.
No one had a better week than Stanford’s Johnny Dawkins who led the Cardinal to a 53-51 victory at No. 10 Connecticut, which just might have been the biggest win during his six-year coaching tenure.
After consecutive trips to the National Invitation Tournament, the pressure is on Dawkins to make the NCAA tournament for the first time. The Cardinal got off to a bumpy start and lost 112-103 at home to BYU on Nov. 11. Stanford also stumbled badly against Pittsburgh in an 88-67 defeat on Nov. 26.
Since then, the Cardinal have won three in a row. A win on Saturday against Michigan at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York would cap a very impressive road trip for Stanford and Dawkins.More
Even before Jernard Jarreau’s season-ending knee injury, the loss of Desmond Simmons for a few weeks and their 2-3 start, the Huskies were picked to finish eighth in the Pac-12 in a preseason media poll.
Given new information, the college basketball forecasters have adjusted their predictions and the future appears dim for Washington.
Noted statistician Ken Pomeroy has UW finishing with a 13-18 overall record and 6-12 in Pac-12.
Pomeroy’s prediction is similar to a projection from Team Rankings, a gambling website, that computes Washington will finish eighth in the Pac-12.
Using advanced mathematics, Pomeroy said Washington does a very good job at protecting the ball. The Huskies average 11.7 turnovers, which ranks fifth among the 351 Division I teams. They also do a good job at the line, converting 75 percent of their free throws that ranks 55th in the nation.
However, Washington is atrocious on defense where it has a 56.4 effective field goal percentage (318 rank) and opponents are converting 57 percent of their shots inside the arc, which ranks 330th.
Pomeroy has Washington at No. 138 in his overall rating.
Jeff Sagarin, a sports statistician for USA Today, has the Huskies at 172 in his rankings.More
So who’s No. 1 in men’s college basketball? Well that depends on who you ask. Fifty-one of the 65 national media panelists who vote in the Associated Press poll picked Michigan (19-1), which is the first time the Wolverines have held the top spot since the Fab Five days 20 years ago. Here’s a look…More
If you look solely at the Pac-12’s RPI rating, then it seems as if the conference has gotten off to a great start. And yet other metrics such as Jeff Sagarin’s ratings draw a different conclusion and rates the Pac-12 fifth in the nation. Ken Pomeroy, who claims to use advanced analysis, also…More