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Jon Talton

Analysis and commentary on economic news, trends and issues, with an emphasis on Seattle and the Northwest.

Topic: Housing

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August 6, 2013 at 10:32 AM

Obama’s mortgage shuffle

President Obama will travel to Phoenix this afternoon to give a speech on home ownership, mortgages and the role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The White House hasn’t released a text of the speech yet, although we do have this fact sheet. My initial response is that this is as tone deaf as the president using an distribution center as the embodiment of “middle-class jobs” (although, as the Seattle Times’ Brier Dudley wrote, this may not have been a coincidence). The last thing Phoenix needs is a presidential boost to its pathological and unsustainable dependency on sprawl house-building, which sent the metro economy into a full-out depression when the bubble burst and faces an uncertain future because of climate change and water. The president could bring this huge but limited city a national laboratory, a billion in research dollars for Arizona State University or a new contract for Boeing’s helicopter plant in suburban Mesa — one of the relatively few well-paying nodes in an otherwise low-wage, housing-dependent economy. But more housing? It’s like standing outside an AA hall and intercepting first-time meeting-goers with a case of booze.

There’s also the unfortunate specter of the president’s failure to help average Americans even as Wall Street was bailed out by taxpayers. The Home Affordable Modification Program was intended to help as many as 9 million struggling house owners modify the terms of their mortgages. But the program has reached about 880,000 people. One big problem has been foot-dragging by the banks.

As I read the new proposal, if that’s the right word, the president wants to continue Fannie and Freddie, at least for a time, but under a different business plan. And then make a transition to a mortgage market based entirely on private capital.

We need a rock-solid foundation for financing homeownership with a bigger role for the private sector, where taxpayers aren’t on the hook for the irresponsible behavior or bad decisions of financial institutions and we finally put an end to an era where Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could expect a bailout for risky behavior in pursuit of profits


Comments | More in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Housing | Topics: Fannie Mae, Housing

June 27, 2013 at 9:33 AM

Housing permits seek a new normal, in charts

Two new graphics from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis show how residential building permits are faring in the slow recovery:



In the aftermath of the housing crash, Washington permits have a long way to go before they reach their old peaks. Note the severity of the falloff during the Great Recession compared with other recessions (marked in grey). For Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, the improvement is slightly more pronounced. Even so, it remains weak.


Comments | More in Housing | Topics: Housing, Seattle, Washington state