Arizona State (minus 14.5) vs. Navy — I’m usually leery of big spreads against capable service-academy teams, because those are always hard-trying, relentless outfits that chew up clock with their triple-option offenses.
In this case, I’m making an exception. This doesn’t appear to be a great Navy team; it got routed early by Notre Dame and Penn State and has little in the way of a notable victory. (Of course, the same could be said about Arizona State as well; each team has only one win against a team with a winning record.)
You wonder about ASU’s focus as a big favorite, and having to deal with the cut blocks and dirty work associated with blunting the option. But I think ASU has too much size and speed for the Middies. Arizona State 38, Navy 17.