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Pac-12 Confidential

Bud Withers offers an inside look at the Pac-12 Conference and the national college scene.

September 19, 2013 at 8:46 PM

Pac-12 picks, Week 4

Not the sexiest card this week. Next week is when the conference starts getting down to cases.

Idaho State (no line) at Washington — Bengals biting off more than they can chew here. Washington 67, Idaho State 6.

Utah State (plus 6.5) at USC — You can argue that the Trojans have found their mojo now that Cody Kessler is the clear-cut starting quarterback. And you can make a case that they might not be giving a pretty good football team their complete attention. Beware Chuckie Keeton, the Aggie quarterback. Utah State 28, USC 27.

Arizona State (plus 7.5) at Stanford — The line seems a tad high, given that ASU is ranked and Stanford has been unimpressive. That tells me somebody thinks that the Cardinal is about to explode. I’m buying that rationale. Stanford 35, ASU 20.

Oregon State (minus 11) at San Diego State — The Aztecs were expected to be halfway decent in the Mountain West,  a notion that got torched when they lost 40-19 in their opener to Eastern Illinois. But they’ve had a week off and the Beavers are coming off a highly charged overtime win at Utah, so I think this may be close. Oregon State 31, San Diego State 28.

Utah (plus 7) at Brigham Young — Utes have won three in a row against BYU, and with the series going away for two years, BYU will be spoiling for bragging rights. But QB Travis Wilson was a two-way threat last week, and Utah needs to show up just as badly as BYU. Brigham Young 27, Utah 23.

New Mexico State (plus 42.5) at UCLA — The Aggies have surrendered 142 points to Texas, Minnesota and UTEP, and that total might hit 200 by Saturday night. But the Bruins may just come a little flat after the emotional win in Lincoln last week (and it may not matter, either). UCLA 52, New Mexico State 20.

Idaho (plus 31.5) at Washington State — Generally, it’s not a good idea to lay big points with teams that haven’t had a recent history of winning. That, plus there may be more want-to on the Idaho side — though it won’t equalize the talent deficit. Washington State 41, Idaho 22.

Last week — 8-2 (4-4 versus the spread). Season — 24-5 (10-10 versus the spread).

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