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Pac-12 Confidential

Bud Withers offers an inside look at the Pac-12 Conference and the national college scene.

November 28, 2014 at 9:27 AM

Pac-12 picks, final full weekend

 

A last swing at picks, in a hard pickin’ season:

Stanford (plus 5.5) at UCLA — The Cardinal has dominated this series lately, and its defense could harness the Bruins. But with UCLA seemingly peaking in recent weeks, it’s hard to envision Stanford scoring much, especially with Ty Montgomery out. UCLA 23, Stanford 13.

Arizona State (plus 2.5) at Arizona — Sun Devils have been a strange proposition the past couple of games, and were fortunate to get off the hook against WSU last week. Big question for Arizona is the availability of Anu Solomon. Tempted to let that be the deciding factor here, but I’m going to side with Arizona, which no doubt remembers ASU’s huge win last year in Tempe. Arizona 33, Arizona State 27.

Utah (minus 9) at Colorado — Weird season for Utah, which, until the blowout loss to Arizona last week, had been playing only close ones. Buffs try hard, but their quarterback play has turned spotty, or they’d be worth an upset pick here. Utah 26, Colorado 20.

Notre Dame (plus 7) at USC — Irish have really gone off the rails in recent weeks; since mid-October, they’ve only beaten Navy in a high-scoring game. I’m hardly sold on the Trojans, but will pick them to get their offense back on track after a lifeless showing against UCLA. USC 35, Notre Dame 23.

BYU (plus 4) at California — Bears have a bowl game staring them in the face, and get BYU without two of its big offensive weapons, quarterback Taysom Hill and running back Jamaal Williams. Cal’s defense is no bargain, but the offense puts up enough here to get it done. Cal 38, BYU 31.

Oregon (minus 19.5) at Oregon State — Everything points to Oregon, which has motivation to win for its playoff hopes, more than equalizing OSU’s bowl-eligibility aspirations. Somehow, OSU makes it competitive. Oregon 42, Oregon State 28.

Washington (minus 3.5) at WSU — The big factor seems to be whether the WSU front can give quarterback Luke Falk time against the UW pass rush. My hunch is, it gets enough done, and the Cougars’ decent defensive line makes itself heard from. WSU 31, Washington 27.

Last week — 4-2 (4-2 versus the spread). Season — 58-26 (33-42-1 versus the spread).

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