Polls, as all the political wizards like to tell us, are only a snapshot in time. Horse-race polls in July are more so. Well, then, why do we like to read about them so much? A new poll shows President Obama’s lead in Washington state, while still very sturdy, is narrowing. The latest KING-5/ SurveyUSA poll shows Obama’s lead over Republican Mitt Romney, which earlier had been mid-double-digits, has narrowed to single digits. The SurveyUSA poll shows Democrat Obama ahead in Washington by 9 points.
We wouldn’t think much of that single survey number, but it does seem similar to last month’s Elway poll on the same point, which showed Obama leading Romney by8 percentage points.
The SurveyUSA poll was conducted among 630 registered voters statewide Monday through Wednesday this week; it has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points
Our friends at KING TV shared more of their latest poll results with us. The poll shows Sen. Maria Cantwell, Democrat, remains well ahead of her Republican challenger, Michael Baumgartner, by about 11 percent. They also say the marijuana legalization measure has a decent chance of passing in November, with 55 percent public support. The charter school measure, introducing up to 40 charter schools to Washington, has some distance to go for passage, with 46 percent support, and gay marriage is really close, with 50 percent support. The initiative re-stating the two-thirds majority required for tax increases has 56 percent support.
The roads will be crowded in the Seattle area again next Tuesday. President Obama is coming this way for two fundraisers. No public events are scheduled. We don’t know yet if the events are in Seattle or on the Eastside.
According to the announcement, the President will travel to Nevada and California on Monday and Seattle and Portland Tuesday.