November 19, 2012 at 3:08 PM
Snohomish County again proves a bellwether in governor’s race
Snohomish County has again lived up to its uncanny reputation for closely predicting the outcome of gubernatorial races in Washington.
With ballot counting nearly finished, Democratic Governor-elect Jay Inslee beat Republican Rob McKenna by 51.3% to 48.7% statewide.
In Snohomish County, Inslee leads McKenna 51.1% to 48.9%. That’s just .2 percent off the statewide mark — the closest mirroring of the final outcome of any of the state’s 39 counties.
While King County was once again the key to the Democratic victory in the gubernatorial race (Inslee beat McKenna by 218,000 votes here), its neighbor to the north is a better indicator of the final margins.
As we noted on Election Day, going back to 1980, Snohomish County has had the best record for predicting the statewide vote totals for the winner in governors races, according to an analysis by Seattle Times data whiz Justin Mayo.
This year’s result keeps the bellwether’s streak very much alive.
1980 SnoCo Statewide
D McDermott 44.6% 43.3%
R Spellman 55.4% 56.7%
D Gardner 52.7% 53.3%
R Spellman 47.3% 46.7%
D Gardner 62.5% 62.2%
R Williams 37.5% 37.8%
D Lowry 52.4% 52.2%
R Eikenberry 47.6% 47.8%
D Locke 57.4% 58.0%
R Craswell 42.6% 42.0%
D Locke 56.9% 57.9%
R Carlson 41.3% 40.2%
D Gregoire 47.7% 48.9%
R Rossi 49.9% 48.9%
D Gregoire 52.7% 53.2%
R Rossi 47.3% 46.8%
D Inslee 51.1% 51.3%
R McKenna 48.8% 48.9%
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