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Politics Northwest

The Seattle Times political team explores national, state and local politics.

January 2, 2013 at 1:04 PM

Elway Poll: Fiscal cliff debate hurts state voter outlook

A new poll by Stuart Elway indicates the “fiscal cliff” debate in Washington, D.C., made Washington voters more pessimistic about the future.

Elway checks voter outlook periodically, based on a four point scale. His latest poll surveyed 411 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus five percentage points.

“Throughout 2012, each of the four Voter Outlook Index measures steadily improved, mainly as a result of fewer and fewer people thinking things were getting worse. That trend was reversed this month,” Elway wrote in his report.

“For each component measure, there was a decline in the number of voters who said things were getting better coupled with a doubling of the percentage of voters who said things were getting worse.”

Previously, the index had jumped from its all‐time low of 0.39 in August 2011 to its highest point in eight years last September — 2.04. The score this month was 0.32, its
third‐lowest score in 20 years, Elway wrote.

In an interview, Elway attributed the decline to the debate over the budget and taxes in Congress. “There’s nothing else that has gotten that level of attention,” he said.

Comments | More in Politics Northwest | Topics: Elway Poll, fiscal cliff, voter outlook

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