October 21, 2013 at 12:24 PM
New poll shows Murray with big lead over McGinn
With voters now filling out ballots, state Sen. Ed Murray has a big lead over Mayor Mike McGinn, according to a new poll.
The poll of 400 likely voters, by Seattle based lobbying firm Strategies 360, shows Murray with 51 percent support to McGinn’s 34 percent. The poll was conducted Oct. 14-16 and has a margin of error of 4.9 percent. It was not paid for by either campaign or any clients of Strategies 360, the firm said.
Perhaps the worst news for McGinn is that even voters who think Seattle is doing pretty well are not supporting his reelection. While 73 percent of those surveyed said the economy in the city was in good or very good shape, 39 percent said Murray would do a better job on the issue compared with just 14 percent for McGinn.
McGinn was rated better than Murray on a narrow range of topics: transit, the environment and bike safety. But Murray was trusted on the economy, education, roads, public safety and “leadership on issues that are important to you.”
The new poll result tracks pretty closely with a KING 5 poll last week that showed Murray leading McGinn 52-32 percent.
Meanwhile, McGinn supporters have been touting a newly released KIRO 7 poll that shows the race much closer, with McGinn trailing Murray by just 4 percentage points (33 to 29 percent).
But that poll was conducted two weeks ago and did not publicly release basic data usually disclosed on reputable polling, including a margin of error. A limited set of details provided by the McGinn campaign said the poll was a mix of phone and Internet responses but did not reveal specifics.
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