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December 3, 2012 at 1:12 PM
The voter-approved marijuana measures in Washington and Colorado are pulling marijuana out of the black market. So how big is that market?
I mentioned it was potentially a billion-dollar industry in Washington alone in a Seattle Times story this Sunday about marijuana-industry investors. That was based on a state Office of Financial Management estimate before the November election, which used federal use surveys, plus the per-gram price at local medical marijuana dispensaries, and came up with a potential $1 billion market.
That’s also what Jon Gettman, a Virginia-based marijuana researcher, came up with in 2006. If so, that puts marijuana just behind apples - and just ahead of milk and wheat - as the No. 2 agricultural commodity in Washington.
The Medical Marijuana Business Daily, an industry new service, used the OFM analysis and projected it out nationwide. The result: a market potentially worth more than $46 billion. An eye-popping number.
But these projections, of course, depend on the federal government taking a laissez-faire approach to state legalization measures. The OFM analysis – here in dense detail, here in a summary – has a big fat caveat that legalization could be worth zero dollars, or $1 billion. No word out of Washington D.C. about the potential response to the two states’ new laws.
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