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November 4, 2013 at 4:13 PM
A new poll by Moore Information, out of Portland, found that more Washington voters blame Republicans for the federal government shutdown than President Obama or Democrats in Congress.
The survey of 500 likely voters, taken Oct. 23-24, found that 43 percent blame Republicans, while 31 percent blame President Obama and Democrats in Congress. Another 19 percent said both parties are at fault. The remaining 7 percent blamed neither party or have no opinion.
The poll also found that most voters, 53 percent, disagree with the position the Tea Party took in the shutdown negotiations, while just 26 percent agreed. Another 21 percent said they had no opinion.
According to the survey, 42 percent strongly disagreed with the Tea Party, while only 15 percent “strongly” agreed. Even among Republicans there wasn’t majority support for the Tea Party position, according to the poll. Moore’s report said “the fact that the Tea Party does not garner majority support on the shutdown even among Republicans is a something of a wake-up call for the Tea Party and is indicative of a bigger problem for that group among the electorate as a whole.
The poll had a plus or minus 4 percent margin of error. Moore Information has many GOP clients, including the Washington state Republican Party.
September 16, 2013 at 10:01 AM
Updated at 1:25 p.m. with comment from Mayor McGinn via Times reporter Lynn Thompson.
A new KING 5 poll shows Seattle Mayor Mike McGinn badly trailing challenger Ed Murray in the mayor’s race.
Murray leads with 52 percent support, compared with 30 percent for McGinn, according to the poll of 503 likely voters conducted by SurveyUSA.
John Wyble, a consultant for the McGinn campaign, took issue with the poll, suggesting the mayor was in better shape than it showed. For example, Wyble noted only 10 percent of the poll sample was cell phones versus 90 percent land lines. “I think we are behind but it’s much closer than this poll suggests,” Wyble said in an email.
Asked about the poll at a news conference Monday morning, McGinn downplayed the numbers, saying they don’t reflect his support among communities of color and low-wage workers. ”This is why you run races,” McGinn said. “At the end of the day, it will be the voters who make the decision.”
A 22-point lead in the poll is obviously good news for Murray, but his campaign also was quick to express caution.
July 18, 2013 at 11:14 AM
With less than three weeks to go before the primary, Mayor Mike McGinn and state Sen. Ed Murray lead the field in the Seattle mayoral race, according to a new KING 5 poll.
The poll finds Murray with 22 percent support to McGinn’s 21 percent — basically dead even given the poll’s 4.5 percent margin of error. The poll of 501 likely Seattle voters was conducted by Survey USA.
Former Seattle City Councilmember Peter Steinbrueck had 14 percent support, followed by current City Councilmember Bruce Harrell at 11 percent. Rounding out the field were businessman Charlie Staadecker at 3 percent, socialist Mary Martin at 2 percent, and a trio of lesser known candidates, Kate Martin, Doug McQuaid and Joey Gray at 1 percent each. There were 25 percent who remained undecided.
The poll is good news for Murray, who climbed in support since the last KING 5 poll in May, possibly as a result of a string of high-profile endorsements. Steinbrueck dropped somewhat in the new poll, while McGinn’s support remained steady.
As KING 5 points out, it’s still too early to write any of the leading candidates off. A Survey USA poll at the same time in 2009 found then-Mayor Greg Nickels and then-City Councilmember Jan Drago atop the field, while two lesser-known candidates named Joe Mallahan and Mike McGinn were seemingly far behind. Of course, it was Mallahan and McGinn who won the primary and squared off that November.
Ballots in the all-mail election have been sent, and voters have until Aug. 6 to return them.
July 17, 2013 at 10:45 AM
Well, at least it wasn’t an F.
State lawmakers received a D+ from voters in a new poll about the 2013 Legislative session.
Seventeen percent of respondents to The Elway Poll did give the lawmakers an F, while 29 percent chose D, 34 percent chose C, 11 percent chose B and 1 percent chose A (and 9 percent had no opinion). That made for an average “GPA” of sorts of 1.34 — a D+.
The poll also found poor ratings for the Majority Coalition Caucus, a coalition of 23 Republicans and two Democrats that seized control of the state Senate by one vote this year.
Twenty-one percent of respondents said the coalition’s impact was positive, less than the 35 percent who classified it as negative. And 43 percent found the impact neutral or had no opinion.
On the positive side, the poll reported that more voters paid attention to the session this year — 58 percent, the highest since 1998, according to pollster Stuart Elway.
The poll surveyed 406 registered voters by phone (including cell phones) between July 9 and 11. The margin of error was plus or minus 5 percentage points.
This session, lawmakers adopted a compromise $33.6 billion budget and approved a bill aimed at reducing drunken-driving, but did not reach agreement on much else.
April 2, 2013 at 4:54 PM
A group pushing for changes in education has commissioned a poll showing public backing for moves it supports — a finding quickly rejected by opponents.
For example, the poll found that 66 percent of Washington state voters support giving an A-F letter grade to schools “based on how well students are learning.” Only 29 percent opposed the idea.
That concept passed the state Senate last month but hasn’t gotten a committee vote in the state House.
Another finding — important as the Senate and House prepare to release their budgets — was that voters split 49 percent to 46 percent on whether to increase taxes to give more money to education.
The poll of 402 residents, conducted last week by Strategies 360, is scheduled to be released Wednesday by Stand for Children. That organization, which supports letter grading and increased funding, paid for the poll.
“It’s clear that voters want both funding and improvements and accountability measures,” said Anne Martens, a spokeswoman for the group.
A spokesman for the state teachers union, which opposes grades but supports increased funding, said he’s “not sure how much credence to put in polling from groups that have a clear agenda.” The spokesman, Rich Wood added that “Every teacher, and I think, every parent who has a kid in school knows that overcrowded classes are the biggest problem facing our schools.”
Here’s a breakdown of the state budget and school-funding challenges, as reported by Seattle Times staff. And, ask, how would you pay for education and what choices would you make to balance the state budget? Build your budget here.
March 7, 2013 at 3:43 PM
A new Survey USA poll conducted for KING 5 finds weak numbers for Seattle Mayor Mike McGinn as he heads into his re-election campaign.
The poll of 647 registered voters, which tested McGinn against several announced and rumored rivals, found just 15 percent of voters said they’d support the incumbent. That was tied with former King County Executive Ron Sims, who has so far announced no plans to run. Seattle City Councilmember Tim Burgess, who has announced his campaign, placed third with 10 percent support.
The rest of the field, including state Sen. Ed Murray, Councilmember Bruce Harrell and former Councilmember Peter Steinbrueck, managed only single-digit support. And 34 percent of voters said they are simply undecided.
January 23, 2013 at 6:00 AM
Tuesday marked the 40th anniversary of Roe v. Wade. NBC and the Wall Street Journal took the opportunity to offer a poll that shows a new majority now favors abortion. The poll is interesting, because poll numbers on this topic have been bopping around in recent years. Take a look.
Joe Biden and 2016. One natural way to amuse oneself during a long day of inaugural festivities is to ask: Is Joe Biden having such a good time that he is running for president in 2016? That’s what roughly half the crowd was wondering this week.
What do you think? Look at that expression.
Guns and Congress: There has been talk that some Democratic members of Congress might be soft or softening on gun legislation. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid says the Senate will not duck this difficult issue. Reid did not specifically address the assault weapons ban. He said lawmakers would go deep on the subject. Hard to say what that really means.
Does Rodney Tom match his district? State Sen. Rodney Tom is one of the best-known state lawmakers this session, partly because of his decision to break ranks with his fellow Democrats and join Republicans in forming a leadership arrangement in the Senate, the majority coalition caucus. Democrats are not happy with him. But even critics concede Tom is in sync with his Eastside district on tax increases. PublicCola took a look at voting in the recent election by legislative district and found Tom’s voters agree with him on Tim Eyman’s tax-limitation measures. Sync is sync.
A fee on lobbyists. Once again, state Rep. Jim Moeller of Vancouver is introducing a bill that would slap a fee on lobbyists and politicians — the money would go toward improving the Public Disclosure Commission’s online presence.
The Seattle Times politics team has a new Facebook page, and we are eager for friends and likes.
December 10, 2012 at 6:00 AM
Big weekend for gay marriage in Washington state. So, what do voters across the country think about gay marriage? A new poll reported in Politico says a plurality — not a majority – of Americans favor gay marriage. The Times’ Carol Ostrom reported Saturday about people in our state who voted against both gay marriage and marijuana legalization. The U.S. Supreme Court will take up gay marriage, two cases.
U.S. Rep. Adam Smith stays put on armed services: The News Tribune of Tacoma has an interesting piece on Adam Smith, formerly of Tacoma, who has recently moved to Bellevue. The point is Smith may have moved out of the Tacoma area and away from close proximity to Joint Base Lewis-McChord, but his interests are still with armed services. Smith is staying on as the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee in the upcoming Congress. Smith, by the by, moved closer to the center of the newly-drawn 9th Congressional District.
Booker on the move: Newark, New Jersey Mayor Cory Booker is making plans. Or thinking about a move up in politics, anyway. Booker, one of the rising stars in Democratic politics, is pondering a run next year against popular New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Wouldn’t that be a fun race? Christie, a Republican, aggravated members of his own party for the hug heard round the world during the presidential race. (You might remember Christie embraced and praised President Obama in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.)
October 16, 2012 at 8:03 AM
President Obama need not lie awake at night worrying about winning the hearts of voters of Washington state — and he doesn’t. But if he is keeping count, with a big performance and national gut check looming in Tuesday evening’s debate, he is a mere 14 points ahead in our state. That compares to his 20-point lead a few weeks ago — before the first debate.
The latest KING TV SurveyUSA poll shows that if the election were held today, or, more precisely, Oct. 12 through 14, when the poll was conducted, Obama would win 54 percent of the vote, compared to 40 percent for Mitt Romney.
For a little context, the president won Washington in 2008 by 17 points against John McCain.
The poll includes 543 likely voters from around the state and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. Voters were contacted on landlines, smartphones, tablets or other electronic devices.
September 10, 2012 at 3:11 PM
President Obama has had a few positive weeks, including a convention that came off without many noticeable glitches, at least as far as voters in Washington state seem to think.
The latest KING-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA shows Democrat Obama now leading Republican Mitt Romney by a whopping 16 points in research conducted Sept. 7 to 9, among 524 likely Washington voters. That’s getting close to Obama’s 2008 final tally in Washington. Obama-Joe Biden beat John McCain and Sarah Palin by 17 points.
The latest poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.
Pundits talk a lot about a bounce, a jump in polls following a convention. Obama seems to have gotten one nationally: CNN says the president now leads Romney by 6 points.
Polls, as always, capture a moment in time. Keep in mind there are still 57 days to go until Election Day and many millions of dollars of advertising on behalf of both presidential tickets and a few debates sprinkled into the mix.
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