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October 21, 2013 at 12:24 PM
With voters now filling out ballots, state Sen. Ed Murray has a big lead over Mayor Mike McGinn, according to a new poll.
The poll of 400 likely voters, by Seattle based lobbying firm Strategies 360, shows Murray with 51 percent support to McGinn’s 34 percent. The poll was conducted Oct. 14-16 and has a margin of error of 4.9 percent. It was not paid for by either campaign or any clients of Strategies 360, the firm said.
Perhaps the worst news for McGinn is that even voters who think Seattle is doing pretty well are not supporting his reelection. While 73 percent of those surveyed said the economy in the city was in good or very good shape, 39 percent said Murray would do a better job on the issue compared with just 14 percent for McGinn.
McGinn was rated better than Murray on a narrow range of topics: transit, the environment and bike safety. But Murray was trusted on the economy, education, roads, public safety and “leadership on issues that are important to you.”
The new poll result tracks pretty closely with a KING 5 poll last week that showed Murray leading McGinn 52-32 percent.
Meanwhile, McGinn supporters have been touting a newly released KIRO 7 poll that shows the race much closer, with McGinn trailing Murray by just 4 percentage points (33 to 29 percent).
But that poll was conducted two weeks ago and did not publicly release basic data usually disclosed on reputable polling, including a margin of error. A limited set of details provided by the McGinn campaign said the poll was a mix of phone and Internet responses but did not reveal specifics.
October 16, 2012 at 8:00 AM
The Washington governor’s race may be tightening.
Three weeks before Election Day, Rob McKenna has pulled back within the margin of error against Jay Inslee, according to a new poll conducted by SurveyUSA for KING-TV.
The poll, which two weeks ago showed Inslee with a six-point lead, now indicates a smaller lead of three points: 47-44 percent.
McKenna, a Republican and the state attorney general, gained the most ground against former Democratic Congressman Inslee among voters ages 50 and older. The last survey showed Inslee ahead by eight points with those voters; this poll puts McKenna ahead by two.
McKenna’s education-focused message may also be resonating with voters. Those surveyed in the new poll favored McKenna by 42-35 percent on the issue; previously, the rivals were essentially tied.
The poll, conducted over the weekend, Oct. 12 through 14, surveyed 543 likely voters around the state. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent.
McKenna and Inslee will meet for their final debate Tuesday at 8 p.m., an event that will be live-streamed on seattletimes.com, with a live chat, and broadcast live on KING TV
October 15, 2012 at 7:00 AM
Business exec ad is a big deal: The Olympian wrote a piece about an “unprecedented”effort by a large number of Northwest business leaders who announced support for approving Referendum 74 — for same-sex marriage — in a Seattle Times newspaper ad. Click here to see the ad. TV ads are up on both sides of this debate. Ballots start going out Wednesday.
That rockin’ kneeslapper debate: You knew this was coming. Vice President Joe Biden’s giggles in last week’s debate are now captured in a radio ad for Romney-Ryan.
Can a TV ad featuring the Biden smirk-fest be far behind? Debates have the strangest takeaway points. Don’t believe me? Ask Big Bird.
Fighting for Ohio: Bruce Springsteen, balladeer of a generation and a “Rust Belt” mindset, joins former President Bill Clinton in Ohio this week to campaign for President Obama.
Debates, chats, ballots: This is Monday of the busiest week of the busiest month in Election 2012. Check out our election calendar. The biggest night of the week is Tuesday, the doubleheader presidential debate from 6 to 7:30 p.m., followed by the final gubernatorial debate of the season, sponsored by The Seattle Times and KING TV from 8 to 9 p.m. We will be live chatting both events on seattletimes.com with University of Washington political science prof, Mark. A. Smith, along with our crack Times politics team and you, the readers. If you know of any debate-watching parties, send a quick email to firstname.lastname@example.org. We just might cover it.
We have live chats Wednesday at noon on Initiative 502, the marijuana legalization measure, and Thursday at noon, on Initiative 1240, the charter school measure.
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