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Popcorn & Prejudice: A Movie Blog

Seattle Times writer Moira Macdonald muses on moviegoing. Email Moira: mmacdonald@seattletimes.com.

September 14, 2012 at 9:29 AM

A post-TIFF look at the Oscar race

I’m going to take a few days off, to collapse after my Toronto International Film Festival stint; back online on Wednesday. In the meantime, it seemed like a good moment to take a look at how the Oscar race might be shaping up, considering the movies unveiled in Toronto this week. Here are my predictions; note that these are not necessarily my personal favorites — that’ll be another blog for another day — but the ones I think the Academy might reward. (Stars next to the title mean that I’m listing it sight unseen — one star for those that played in Toronto but I missed, two stars for movies that, as far as I know, haven’t screened anywhere yet.) Here we go; pull this out in six months and see if I got anything right:
Best Picture
Anna Karenina
Argo*
Cloud Atlas
The Dark Knight Rises
Hyde Park on Hudson
Les Miserables**
The Life of PI**
Lincoln**
The Master
The Silver Linings Playbook
Best Director
Ben Affleck, “Argo” *
Paul Thomas Anderson, “The Master”
David O. Russell, “The Silver Linings Playbook”
Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln” **
Joe Wright, “Anna Karenina”
Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln”**
John Hawkes, “The Sessions”
Hugh Jackman, “Les Miserables”**
Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master”
Denzel Washington, “Flight” **
Best Actress:
Marion Cotillard, “Rust and Bone”
Helen Hunt, “The Sessions”
Keira Knightley, “Anna Karenina”
Jennifer Lawrence, “The Silver Linings Playbook”
Meryl Streep, “Hope Springs”
Best Supporting Actor
Jim Broadbent, “Cloud Atlas”
Robert De Niro, “The Silver Linings Playbook”
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, “The Dark Knight Rises”
Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master” (I know, I know — it’s a lead performance, but I think this is how the studio will play it, so he doesn’t compete against Phoenix)
Jude Law, “Anna Karenina”
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, “The Master”
Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables” **
Laura Linney, “Hyde Park on Hudson”
Maggie Smith, “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel”
Olivia Williams, “Hyde Park on Hudson”
OK, who’d I forget?

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