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Reel Time Fishing Northwest

Mark Yuasa covers fishing and outdoors in the Pacific Northwest.

December 11, 2009 at 9:10 PM

Some Columbia River salmon forecasts are released, and they might be better than this past season

State Fish and Wildlife has released some early salmon forecasts for 2010, and while no seasons have been set this should give anglers some ideas on how things will pan out next spring, summer and fall:

Columbia River upriver spring chinook forecast is 470,000 (Upper Columbia, 57,300 and 5,700 are wild fish; and Snake River spring/summer, 272,000 and 73,400 are wild fish).

Upper Columbia River summer chinook forecast is 88,800.

Columbia River sockeye forecast is 124,600 (14,300 back to the Wenatchee, and 110,300 to the Okanogan). The Snake River component was still unavailable.

Lower Columbia River hatchery chinook stock in 2010 the return should be an improvement over the past five years. The 2009 return was slightly less than predicted, but the jack return was one of the largest returns since mid-1980s.

Lower Columbia River wild chinook stock in 2010 the return should be similar to recent few years but below average. The 2009 return was similar to predicted – the minimum natural spawn escapement goal is expected to be achieved. A high proportion of jacks in the return.

Bonneville Pool hatchery chinook stock in 2010 the return should be improved over recent few years. The 2009 return was similar to predicted, but the largest jack return in database (1964) by a factor of two.

Columbia River Upriver Bright (URBs) chinook stock in 2010 the return should be similar to recent years. The 2009 return was less than predicted, but had the largest return of jacks since mid-1980s.

Mid-Columbia Bright chinook stock in 2010 the return should be above average. The 2009 return was as predicted and it had the largest jack return on record (1980).

The total Columbia River Fall Chinook 2010 return is likely greater than 2009 due to high jack returns. In 2009 the return was less than the prediction primarily due to less URBs.

The Columbia River coho in 2009 the return was slightly less than predicted and the jack return about 26,000 was similar to 2004-2005 jacks.

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