Follow us:

Seahawks Blog

The latest news and analysis from all angles on the Seahawks.

January 24, 2015 at 9:32 PM

A graphic presentation of the Seahawks’ remarkable comeback

The Seahawks leave for Arizona Sunday morning, at which time the focus will truly shift to Super Bowl XLIX and the challenge of beating the New England Patriots to conquer the greater challenge of winning two Super Bowls in a row.

What happened a week ago Sunday, though, will live forever regardless of what happens now.

As one measure of how amazing Seattle’s comeback was, check out the win probability chart below from Pro Football Reference.

I actually hadn’t seen it until tonight when I was doing some research and clicked on the box score for last week’s game and saw the chart.

For some reason, the chart really struck me as indicating just how quickly the fates  of the two teams turned last Sunday. And even moreso, for indicating how long it was that the Seahawks had such a low percentage for winning the game.

If you go through the play-by-play that is below the chart on the above link, you can view the actual win probability percentages for each play.

Seattle was at 50.3 percent after the first play of the drive following the Richard Sherman interception on Green Bay’s first drive — a play that snapped with 11:16 to play in the first quarter. Seattle never again had  a win probability above 50 percent until the Marshawn Lynch 24-yard touchdown with 1:33 to play in the game.

One thing that’s really interesting is how much the win probability changed after the Luke Willson two-point play, going from 67.4 to 91.2 percent by assuring that Green Bay couldn’t win with just a field goal

In a game that featured 135 plays, Seattle had a win probability of 50 percent or better on just 18.

All of which, I guess, just sort of confirms what we all knew at that time — that game was something else.

Screen Shot 2015-01-24 at 9.15.26 PM

COMMENTS

No personal attacks or insults, no hate speech, no profanity. Please keep the conversation civil and help us moderate this thread by reporting any abuse. See our Commenting FAQ.



The opinions expressed in reader comments are those of the author only, and do not reflect the opinions of The Seattle Times.


The Seattle Times

The door is closed, but it's not locked.

Take a minute to subscribe and continue to enjoy The Seattle Times for as little as 99 cents a week.

Subscription options ►

Already a subscriber?

We've got good news for you. Unlimited seattletimes.com content access is included with most subscriptions.

Subscriber login ►
The Seattle Times

To keep reading, you need a subscription upgrade.

We hope you have enjoyed your complimentary access. For unlimited seattletimes.com access, please upgrade your digital subscription.

Call customer service at 1.800.542.0820 for assistance with your upgrade or questions about your subscriber status.

The Seattle Times

To keep reading, you need a subscription.

We hope you have enjoyed your complimentary access. Subscribe now for unlimited access!

Subscription options ►

Already a subscriber?

We've got good news for you. Unlimited seattletimes.com content access is included with most subscriptions.

Activate Subscriber Account ►