UPDATE 10:27 a.m. — The San Jose Earthquakes, who didn’t have much better odds than Seattle, ended up winning the Tracy lottery.
UPDATE 9:39 a.m. — It looks like the Sounders did not win and the Revolution did not win, based on tweets this morning from reporters (I’ll embed them below). That, of course, does not preclude the possibility of a trade, which might explain the delay of an announcement.
Sounders FC has a 2.1 percent chance of winning a weighted lottery for former Wake Forest star Marcus Tracy, the lowest of eight participating teams. The lottery will take place at 7 a.m. Thursday and the winning club will announce the news.
The other participating teams, ranked in order of their odds of winning, are New England (33.2), FC Dallas (19.7), Philadelphia (16.8), Real Salt Lake (9.7), Chicago (7.8), New York (6.1) and San Jose (4.6). Those figures are determined by win-loss records over the past 34 games.
While Seattle’s odds are slim, it’s worth noting that the team could still trade for Tracy after the lottery is held. That could work in reverse, as well, with Seattle potentially traded him away upon winning — however unlikely.
Tracy would have been one of the top picks in the 2009 draft coming out of college, but signed instead with Danish club Aalborg BK, where he reportedly struggled with knee tendinitis issues. Coach Sigi Schmid estimated the forward would’ve gone in the top five in that draft, and if you remember, the Sounders held the top pick that year and selected Steve Zakuani.
A former Hermann trophy winner, Tracy is the third player the Sounders have shown interest in before Saturday’s roster freeze. Accomplished trialists Eidur Gudjohnsen and George Ogararu are the two others.
Vancouver and Colorado are not eligible to participate Thursday having already won previous lotteries for Lee Nguyen and Kamani Hill, respectively.
Here’s a final note from the league website: “League rules require Tracy to go through the lottery system given he was a draft-eligible player back in 2009 and was presented with an MLS contract and declined it, instead signing for Danish side Aalborg. At the time, he was drafted by the Houston Dynamo, who lost his rights following the expiration of a two-year window after the draft.”
Sounders did not win the Marcus Tracy lottery, but my source tells me the team that won didn’t have much better odds.
— Jeremiah Oshan (@JeremiahOshan) September 13, 2012
#revs did not win lottery for Marcus Tracy.
— Kyle McCarthy (@kylejmccarthy) September 13, 2012