UPDATE: 6:27 p.m. — It looks like clinching a berth might be a little less complicated this weekend. Turns out if Seattle beats the Red Bulls, there is no scenario where the Rapids AND Whitecaps can pass the Sounders.
Colorado and Vancouver still have two games against each other, meaning there wouldn’t be enough points to go around.
So a Seattle win and a Dallas loss should be enough to do it.
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A lot of pieces have to fall in place, but Sounders FC can clinch a playoff berth this weekend. Here is the scenario:
— Sounders FC beats New York at home Sunday.
— FC Dallas loses to Columbus at home Sunday.
— Vancouver loses to Real Salt Lake at home Saturday.
If those results happen, Seattle would 53 points, a total that FC Dallas and Chivas USA (already eliminated) would not be able to reach even if they win out.
The Whitecaps and Earthquakes could also reach 53 points by winning the rest of their games, but the Sounders would hold the head-to-head tiebreaker of most wins. Seattle would have 16 wins and Vancouver/San Jose would have a maximum of 15 wins possible.
In another scenario, two more Sounders win clinch a playoff berth regardless of other results. But that, of course, can’t happen this weekend.
Either way, it seems a pretty sure bet Seattle will make it 5-for-5 in terms of qualifying for postseason.