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October 18, 2011 at 5:31 PM

Saturday's Occupy Seattle protest fifth largest nationally

Political analyst Nate Silver scoured media accounts from over the weekend to identify the largest Occupy Wall Street protests staged across the country on Saturday.

The results: Not surprisingly the biggest turnout was recorded in New York, where the crowd was estimated at 6,750. But after that, the West Coast ruled. And Seattle came in with the fifth largest crowd, with an estimated 3,000 people packed into Westlake Park downtown.

Silver’s numbers, published in his FiveThirtyEight blog,  are are based on the median of credible media estimates.

He figures about 70,000 protesters were reported as being active on Saturday across the county.

Said Silver:

This is very probably an underestimate — there were some protests that were noted in news accounts but without any firm estimates of crowd size. But I’m fairly certain that I captured most of the larger protests.

He added:

Over all, about 38,000 protesters — more than half of the documented total — turned out in the Western Census Bureau Region, which accounts for about 23 percent of the country’s population. On a per-capita basis, the West drew about two-and-a-half times more protesters than the Northeast, four times more than the Midwest, and five times more than the South.

Here are the top five protests, from Silver’s calculations:

New York: 6,750

Los Angeles: 5,000

San Francisco: 5,000

Portland: 3,500

Seattle: 3,000

Silver noted that he conducted a similar exercise to estimate crowd sizes for the first widespread Tea Party protests on April 15, 2009.  In the case, he found at least 300,000 protesters across the country.

Comments | More in General news | Topics: FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver, Occupy Seattle

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