Topic: Mitt Romney
You are viewing the most recent posts on this topic.
August 24, 2012 at 9:47 AM
By all traditional measures of a presidential campaign, Mitt Romney should be crushing Barack Obama. But he’s not. Why? The numbers tell the story.
The economy has been stagnant, unemployment is at 8.3%, and the approval ratings of Barack Obama are in the mid to upper-40s. This presidential campaign should not be close. But it is.
In fact,when we look at the realclearpolitics daily average of polls on the presidential race, Mitt Romney has almost never led over the past 18 months. The lines of Obama and Romney support go up and down, sometimes almost crossing. But Obama has been on top consistently for many months.
And this morning, New York Times reporter John Harwood noted that the Romney camp acknowledges they are slightly trailing as we head into the party nominating conventions.
Romney adviser: he gained from Ryan, welfare ads. “We’re pleased w/Medicare debate.” But Akin “slowed momentum,” clouded msg. O slightly up.
— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) August 24, 2012
How can that possibly be? A USAToday/Gallup poll out this morning provides a pretty clear answer.
August 20, 2012 at 6:45 AM
Mitt Romney can trace his membership in the Mormon Church back to its founders. Yet he is tight-lipped — to an unprecedented degree among recent presidential candidates — about his faith. Will this change at the Republican National Convention in Tampa?
NAUVOO, Ill. — Mitt Romney is Mormon. Most Americans know this, polls tell us.
But voters haven’t heard it from Romney, who almost never talks publicly about his religious beliefs and who for the first time yesterday — after more than five years of running for the White House — invited the press to share his church-going experience.
To understand Romney’s Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell religious policy, I came to this town on the Mississippi River in western Illinois. All roads — personal, theological, political — collide here for the presidential candidate, who will deliver the most important speech of his political life next week at the Republican National Convention in Tampa.
In 1841, Romney’s great-great grandparents Miles and Elizabeth Romney arrived in Nauvoo from Lancashire, England. The Romneys were among the first English converts to a distinctly American religion, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints.
Joseph Smith founded this faith, also known as Mormonism, when he claimed to receive visions from God in the 1820s in upstate New York. Smith and his followers traveled to the Midwest to settle, eventually landing in Jackson County in western Missouri, where they hoped to create Zion, a New Jerusalem. The Saints sought to deeply integrate religious beliefs, economics, and politics, and their close-knit, outspoken ways were not well received.
The locals were so hostile that in 1838 Missouri’s governor issued an Extermination Order, which made it legal to kill or expel Mormons, a law that stayed on the books until 1976. Running for their lives, literally, Smith and followers crossed into Illinois, where they settled in Nauvoo in 1841. There they grew, with European converts like the Romneys arriving.
And then things really got bad.
August 16, 2012 at 11:18 PM
Social media networks such as Facebook and Twitter and Youtube channels became part of the political communication mix during the 2008 Presidential election. How do the Obama and Romney campaigns compare as we approach November 2012?
If an election outcome rested on how well a campaign does with Twitter, then President Barack Obama’s camp would be focused not on November 2012 but January 2013. Not only is the Obama campaign out-tweeting the Mitt Romney team but the Obama tweets are being shared at a rate of 17-to-1 compared with Romney’s.
The Pew Project for Excellence in Journalism analyzed the digital activity of the two campaigns over a two-week period in June. The report shows that there is a “digital gap” between the presumed Republican and Democratic candidates for president, just as there was between Obama and John McCain in 2008.
The report reviews candidate activity across a mature set of digital platforms: Facebook, Twitter and YouTube plus the campaign websites. In June, the Obama campaign had a presence on nine platforms: Facebook, Flickr, Google+, Instagram, Pinterest, Spotify, Twitter (@BarackObama plus five others), Tumblr and YouTube. The Romney campaign had public accounts on five: Facebook, Flickr, Google+, Twitter and YouTube; it has subsequently added Tumblr and Spotify, according to the report.
Obama established a broad digital presence in 2008 and has maintained it throughout his presidency. Thus it is not surprising that his digital support dwarfs Romney’s.
But it is not even close, in ways that are intriguing.
August 12, 2012 at 11:44 PM
Presidential candidate Mitt Romney announced U.S. Rep Paul Ryan of Wisconsin as his running mate on Saturday. According to CNN.com, President Obama welcomed Ryan to the race and referred to him as “an articulate spokesman for Gov. Romney’s vision.” Meantime, according to Foxnews.com, former Presidential hopeful John McCain considered Romney’s pick a “bold choice.”
Two polls out this morning put the public reception to Romney’s pick of Ryan as decidedly mixed. Gallup and USA Today found that 42% of U.S. adults said Ryan was a “fair” or “poor” selection, compared to 39% who said he was “excellent” or “good.” Only Dan Quayle among modern VP announcements has fared worse in initial reactions.
A Washington Post/ABC News poll found slightly better numbers for Ryan. The poll did not ask specifically about impressions of him as VP, but did ask about general favorability: after the VP announcement, 38% of U.S. adults said they had a favorable impression of Ryan, compared to 33% unfavorable. These numbers improved significantly after the announcement among self-identified Republicans and independents.
Rep. Giffords returns to home town
Former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, who spent the last 19 months recuperating in Texas after she was shot January 8, 2011 during a massacre that killed six in her home state of Arizona, has moved back to Tucson.
Giffords had been living in Houston. Her husband, former astronaut Mark Kelly, said, “She’s gone home before to visit, but this is different.” She retired from Congress on January 25, 2012.
David Domke and Mariana Llamas-Cendon contributed to this post
August 11, 2012 at 9:38 AM
In the 112th Congress, Paul Ryan, a Republican from Wisconsin just announced as Mitt Romney’s running mate, is one of the most powerful members of the GOP. He’s the House Budget Committee Chairman, a highly influential insider.
Here are six interesting things about Ryan.
1. He was elected to Congress in 1998. At the age of 28. “I learned economics working for Jack Kemp,” he said in 1999. Kemp served in the George H.W. Bush administration, and he was Bob Dole’s running mate in 1996. And as a point of note, Kemp was the supply-side economics messiah.
2. When Ryan was 16, his father died. Ryan attended Miami University (Ohio) with help from Social Security survivor benefits, which he collected until age 18. Average annual 4-year public university tuition and fees in 1988 was an inflation-adjusted $2,800. He studied economics and political science, graduating in 1992. Six years later, he was a Congressman from Wisconsin’s first district.
3. Like many in politics, when his party’s in power, his budget philosophy differs dramatically from when the other folks are in the White House. For example, he voted yes on President Bush’s expansion of Medicare’s drug benefit. In 2005, the Washington Post reported that the White House had revised its estimated costs of the program:
[T]he new Medicare prescription drug benefit will cost more than $1.2 trillion in the coming decade, a much higher price tag than President Bush suggested when he narrowly won passage of the law in late 2003…. As recently as September, Medicare chief Mark B. McClellan said the new drug package would cost $534 billion over 10 years.
As Bruce Bartlett noted in 2009, “the drug benefit had no dedicated financing, no offsets and no revenue-raisers; 100% of the cost simply added to the federal budget deficit.”
August 2, 2012 at 7:09 AM
Mitt Romney turns up the heat on his VP running mate choice by announcing a new mobile app for the occasion. Should he pick Condoleezza Rice?
SEATTLE — We are mired in election season doldrums, that seemingly endless period of the election cycle where it feels as if we are drowning in talk, talk, talk. With the Republican Party national convention not until the end of this month, followed by the Democratic Party gathering in early September, speculation has become a spectator sport.
Next up? Another round of “Name that Vice President!”
Taking a page from President Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign, Mitt Romney’s campaign on Tuesday released Mitt’s VP, a smartphone app that will tell you his choice for running mate–just as soon as Romney decides to make that decision public. To his campaign’s credit, Romney didn’t misspell America this time.
With the Romney campaign maintaining radio silence on the VP pick, some pundits have suggested Rob Portman (U.S. Senator, Ohio) should have the number two slot. Others have pitched Tim Pawlenty (former governor of Minnesota) or Marco Rubio (U.S. Senator, Florida). Bobby Jindal (governor of Lousiana) has also been mentioned as a contender.
And then there is Condoleezza Rice. How about her?
According to Public Policy Polling (PPP), a left-leaning public opinion survey firm, having Rice on the ticket could have a big impact in Michigan (16 electoral votes) and Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes) because she’s viewed favorably by Democrats in both states. In 2008, Obama took 57.4% of the Michigan vote and 54.7% of the Pennsylvania vote. Both are critical swing states in 2012.
This bi-partisan support makes Rice, 57, a valuable political figure if Romney decides he wants to attract Independents or Democrats. In Pennsylvania Rice’s favorability rating is 60% (vs. 27% unfavorable); in Michigan it is 56% (vs. 28%). These numbers are significant, even after accounting for polling margin of error (Pennsylvania is +/-3.6% and Michigan is +/-4.1%).
If the PPP data are solid, Rice should be his number one pick.
July 6, 2012 at 7:11 AM
Mitt Romney is in political trouble. He has allowed Mitt Romney to become the story. Again.
Barack Obama has middling public approval ratings and the economy continues to struggle. His signature act as president, an expansive health care law, survived by one vote on the Supreme Court last week and is opposed by about half of Americans.
By all rights, he should be behind by 10 points in the polls. But he’s not.
Consensus among pollsters shows Obama ahead of Romney by about 3 points. And he’s on a bus tour through Ohio and Pennsylvania yesterday and today touting his policies and blasting Romney. He’s got the momentum it seems.
The last four weeks tell us why.
July 3, 2012 at 6:45 AM
GETTYSBURG, Penn. — I’ve wanted to come here for years.
I have read a number of books about the epic Civil War battle on these rolling fields in southern Pennsylvania. I have watched movies. I have listened to historians talk about the soldiers and their lives. For me, coming to Gettysburg was more than a visit: it was a pilgrimage.
Still, I was unprepared.
I was not ready for the knee-buckling sense of history that I felt atop Seminary Ridge, where Robert E. Lee and his Army of the Northern Virginia made headquarters. I was not ready for the awe I felt standing in the footsteps of Joshua Lawrence Chamberlain—a college professor who led the 20th Maine Regiment as it held the left end of the Union line on Little Round Top. I was not ready for the intense sense of history that hangs over the rock wall that marks the high water mark of Pickett’s Charge on the final day, July 3, 1863—exactly 149 years ago today.
This is sacred ground.
Everywhere are monuments and markers: more than 850 on the battlefield. They invoke those who can no longer speak. As a people, we create monuments so that we might never forget the past.
Unfortunately, I think we have forgotten too much of what happened here—on the battlefield and in the words of Abraham Lincoln afterward.
June 28, 2012 at 10:48 AM
Update at 1:01 pm
And Brent Bozell, conservative firebrand, goes after John Roberts here. Money quote: “People are already talking about the idea that he could be replaced as Chief Justice.”
Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts stunned many people today–including me–by siding with liberals to uphold the individual mandate in the Obama administration’s health care law. And now he is going to pay a price. Maybe.
First out of the gate: someone vandalized the wikipedia page of Roberts:
Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts’ Wikipedia page caption appeared to have been changed to “17th Chief Traitor of the United States” soon after the decision on President Obama’s heath care law was announced. Roberts voted with the majority in upholding the mandate. It has since been corrected.
But wait, here’s a counterview from conservative website Redstate editor Erick Erickson, who also is a commentator on CNN. His bottom line: “It seems very, very clear to me in reviewing John Roberts’ decision that he is playing a much longer game than us and can afford to with a life tenure. And he probably just handed Mitt Romney the White House.”
I think Erickson is right that Roberts has a bigger vision than some might see today. But I think the political impact of this ruling is way overblown. However it came down today would not be the deciding moment of this election. Too many other things are also in play–starting with the economy, but also including immigration, same-sex marriage, and foreign policy.
Here in Washington, though, Rob McKenna just got handed a political bomb. His support for the law’s repeal in a state that on balance supports Obama is a tricky one.
June 20, 2012 at 6:45 AM
Mitt Romney has arrived at his first general election crossroads.
President Barack Obama on Friday announced his administration would grant work permits to the children of illegal immigrants, provided the children came to America before they were 16 years old and have no legal troubles. This was an executive-branch act, controversial but seemingly within the limits of the law.
Yesterday a Bloomberg poll found that almost two-thirds of likely voters support the president’s decision, and that independent voters do so by a 2-to-1 margin. Another poll in five key “battleground” states suggests that Obama’s action has — at least initially — elevated enthusiasm among Latinos to vote for the president in November.
But the Tea Party base of the Republican Party is not close to on board. In the GOP primary, Rick Perry was torn apart for a relatively moderate position on immigration, and Romney ran to Perry’s right by encouraging illegal immigrants to “self-deport” themselves back to their countries.
But now it’s the general election, and Romney must choose: party base or independents?
He hasn’t decided yet. But he will have to.